Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 32
31 Dic 2024, 05:00
31 Dic 2024, 05:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Alexei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
7/21 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7692 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2624 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -142,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,0079 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,0133 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0204 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8542 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,8621 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,7037 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,7170 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 49,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0800 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,8783 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,6004 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,8979 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,1420 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,3084 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,0044 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0485 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1618 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6522 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4737 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,0515 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0535 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0636 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,4628 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
248
API ID
13278113
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 248,
"api_id": 13278113,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Alexei Popyrin",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2024-12-31T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 50,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.7692307692307693,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.262364264467491,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -142,
"best_rank_diff": -11,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.007902298850567,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.013277428371758,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0204081632653061,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.85416666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.86206896551724,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.70370370370371,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.71698113207547,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 49,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.878336494252864,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.600357758620689,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.8979295977011432,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.142040229885055,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.30838505747127,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.004389367816091,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0485074626865671,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1618357487922706,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6521739130434783,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.0515303386954953,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05354166666666671,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06362068965517242,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
"utr_p1": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 0.46280991735537375,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}