Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 16
13 Mar 2025, 05:00
13 Mar 2025, 05:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Grigor … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Grigor Dimitrov
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
15,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
10/16 = 62,5%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
37/43 = 86,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0222 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,8067 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10945,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,9826 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,5161 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8133 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 82,7326 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 79,7468 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 61,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 75,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4098 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,2862 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9666 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,8370 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,8312 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,9179 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1241 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9478 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,3579 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7241 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5238 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,5885 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4415 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 64,6469 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2015 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2833 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,0638 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
2481
API ID
13537575
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2481,
"api_id": 13537575,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Grigor Dimitrov",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Indian Wells",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-03-13T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.67,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -3.8066624897703196,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -10945,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.982558139534888,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8133333333333334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -5,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.23076923076923,
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"p1_surface_matches": 61,
"p2_surface_matches": 75,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4098360655737705,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.286152616279068,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9665784883720931,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.83696705426356,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.831234011627906,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.91786482558139,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.12411337209302342,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.949999999999989,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9478260869565217,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3578732106339468,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7241379310344828,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5238095238095238,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.588460349202709,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.441508613896222,
"surface_rank_synergy": 64.64686705011108,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2015,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2833255813953488,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.6500000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.9023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -4.063769928102534,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}