Arthur Gea vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 22:35
02 Feb 2026, 22:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Arthur …: 34,3%
Giovanni …: 65,7%
¿Por qué Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
UTR 14,95 vs 15,11
(-0,59)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Giovanni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,13 | 1,72 | 46,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,91 | 1,52 | 34,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Arthur …: -15,7%
Giovanni …: +15,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Gea
Ranking
#168
UTR Rating
14,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#98
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/12 = 41,7%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#57
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -137,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3081 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1774 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -605,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -168,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,1905 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18,1802 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,9417 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,9202 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,5738 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,9738 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,9310 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4737 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,2089 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3940 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,4017 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0537 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2084 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,9691 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25058
API ID
15459227
Gamdom ID
648650
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25058,
"api_id": 15459227,
"gamdom_id": 648650,
"player1": "Arthur Gea",
"player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-02T18:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.13,
"p2": 1.72
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.14,
"p2": 1.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3434,
"prob_p2": 0.6566,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6566,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 168,
"utr_singles": 14.95,
"utr_ranking": 98,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 57,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 98,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.11,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.30808080808080807,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -605,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.5738095238095156,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 31.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -3.969054826774301,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -168,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.177393166521224,
"rank_advantage": -137,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.1904761904761827,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.9738095238095212,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.18023809523809,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.941666666666663,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.2088966967246546,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.394032929959518,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.4016585315728767,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.920238095238105,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.931000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05366666666666675,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20842857142857146,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}