Arthur Gea vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 22:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Arthur …: 34,3% Giovanni …: 65,7%
¿Por qué Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
UTR 14,95 vs 15,11 (-0,59) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Giovanni … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 2,13 1,72 46,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,91 1,52 34,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Arthur …: -15,7% Giovanni …: +15,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Gea
Ranking #168
UTR Rating 14,95 Pro
UTR Ranking #98
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/12 = 41,7%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #57
UTR Rating 15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -137,0000
rank_ratio 0,3081
log_rank_ratio -1,1774
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -605,0000
best_rank_diff -168,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,1905
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,6967
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -18,1802
first_serve_won_diff -4,9417
second_serve_won_diff -7,9202
bp_saved_diff -2,5738
bp_converted_diff 3,9738
aces_per_match_diff -6,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,9310
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 12,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0412
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4737
serve_consistency_p1 3,2089
serve_consistency_p2 8,3940
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,4017
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0537
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2084
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5900
utr_p1 0,7729
utr_p2 0,8424
utr_advantage -3,9691
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25058
API ID 15459227
Gamdom ID 648650
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25058,
    "api_id": 15459227,
    "gamdom_id": 648650,
    "player1": "Arthur Gea",
    "player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-02T18:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.13,
      "p2": 1.72
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.14,
      "p2": 1.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3434,
    "prob_p2": 0.6566,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6566,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 168,
      "utr_singles": 14.95,
      "utr_ranking": 98,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 57,
      "utr_singles": 15.11,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.95,
      "ranking": 98,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.11,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.30808080808080807,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -605,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.5738095238095156,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 31.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -3.969054826774301,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -168,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.177393166521224,
    "rank_advantage": -137,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.1904761904761827,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.9738095238095212,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -18.18023809523809,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.941666666666663,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.2088966967246546,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.394032929959518,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.4016585315728767,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.920238095238105,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.931000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05366666666666675,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20842857142857146,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}