Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinka
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 19:40
04 Feb 2026, 19:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Hamad …: 60,8%
Stan …: 39,2%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 15,20 vs 14,80
(+0,60)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hamad … | Stan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,43 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,64 | 2,55 | 60,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hamad …: +2,1%
Stan …: -2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
15,20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#61
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/30 = 60,0%
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#114
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5444 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4347 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 244,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,3529 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,4707 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,1800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,7460 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2381 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 2,4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2077 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9643 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,3466 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0510 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0490 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 10,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,0161 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25059
API ID
15459232
Gamdom ID
648656
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25059,
"api_id": 15459232,
"gamdom_id": 648656,
"player1": "Hamad Medjedovic",
"player2": "Stan Wawrinka",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-04T15:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.43
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6082,
"prob_p2": 0.3918,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6082,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 15.2,
"utr_ranking": 61,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 114,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.2,
"ranking": 61,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 114,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_diff": 0.5999999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.5444444444444445,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 244,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5200000000000102,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.01606425702811,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.43466426280042675,
"rank_advantage": 49,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.300000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.4706666666666734,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2380952380952381,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 2.4615384615384617,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1833333333333336,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.499999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.207706863710563,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.964336265965093,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.346642628004267,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1800000000000068,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.746000000000009,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 10.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.051000000000000045,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04899999999999993,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.352941176470591,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}