Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinka
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 19:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Hamad …: 60,8% Stan …: 39,2%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 15,20 vs 14,80 (+0,60) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hamad … Stan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,57 2,43 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,64 2,55 60,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Hamad …: +2,1% Stan …: -2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 15,20 Pro
UTR Ranking #61
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/30 = 60,0%
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #114
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 49,0000
rank_ratio 1,5444
log_rank_ratio 0,4347
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 244,0000
best_rank_diff -54,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,3529
surface_matches_ratio 1,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,8235
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,4707
first_serve_won_diff -4,5000
second_serve_won_diff 1,1800
bp_saved_diff 0,5200
bp_converted_diff 7,3000
aces_per_match_diff 2,1833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,7460
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 11,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2381
winner_ue_ratio_p2 2,4615
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5294
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 9,2077
serve_consistency_p2 7,9643
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,3466
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0510
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0490
elite_surface_amplifier 10,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6000
utr_p1 0,8518
utr_p2 0,7812
utr_advantage 4,0161
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25059
API ID 15459232
Gamdom ID 648656
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25059,
    "api_id": 15459232,
    "gamdom_id": 648656,
    "player1": "Hamad Medjedovic",
    "player2": "Stan Wawrinka",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-04T15:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6082,
    "prob_p2": 0.3918,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6082,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 15.2,
      "utr_ranking": 61,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 113,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 114,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.2,
      "ranking": 61,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 114,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.851764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_diff": 0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5444444444444445,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 244,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.5200000000000102,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.01606425702811,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -54,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.43466426280042675,
    "rank_advantage": 49,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.300000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.4706666666666734,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2380952380952381,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 2.4615384615384617,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.1833333333333336,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.499999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.207706863710563,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.964336265965093,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.346642628004267,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1800000000000068,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.746000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 10.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.051000000000000045,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04899999999999993,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.352941176470591,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}