Holger Rune vs Jack Draper
Indian Wells | Hard | Final
16 Mar 2025, 21:00
16 Mar 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Holger … | Jack … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Holger Rune
Ranking
#15
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
54/81 = 66.7%
Jack Draper
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
16.14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
40/54 = 74.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -5.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.4055 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -400.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12.5107 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6.5314 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66.2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 78.7281 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65.8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72.4138 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.3229 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.5090 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.6687 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.5307 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.1244 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.1345 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1432 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1203 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5588 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.4240 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.7106 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5.0727 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1672 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2823 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9576 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2506
API ID
13537601
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2506,
"api_id": 13537601,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Holger Rune",
"player2": "Jack Draper",
"tournament": "Indian Wells",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-03-16T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 54,
"wr_surface_total": 81,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 16.14,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 74.07407407407408,
"wr_surface_wins": 40,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.40546510810816444,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -400,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.510748600262673,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.531440162271807,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.21739130434781,
"surface_wr_p2": 78.72813990461049,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.88235294117646,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.41379310344827,
"p1_surface_matches": 81,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.322856846616432,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.5090481786133836,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6687426556991838,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.530740305522926,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.1244300822561684,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.134477777009746,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.143236074270557,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1202672605790647,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.4239938996656107,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.710551656481261,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.072672033719572,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16717391304347817,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28228139904610483,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.9576470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.9576470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}