Mackenzie McDonald vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mackenzie McDonald
Mackenzie …: 53,5% Aleksandar …: 46,5%
¿Por qué Mackenzie McDonald?
UTR 14,81 vs 14,81 (-0,04) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mackenzie … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 2,43 1,52 41,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,15 53,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Mackenzie …: +21,7% Aleksandar …: -21,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking #111
UTR Rating 14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #120
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #111
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -57,0000
rank_ratio 0,4956
log_rank_ratio -0,7020
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -418,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,4846
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,3333
surface_matches_ratio 0,8913
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,6585
surface_wr_p2 52,1739
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0732
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,4722
first_serve_won_diff -6,4217
second_serve_won_diff 0,1363
bp_saved_diff -2,9354
bp_converted_diff 8,0662
aces_per_match_diff -2,1511
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13,2440
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,4459
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6410
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4500
serve_consistency_p1 7,1572
serve_consistency_p2 6,3984
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,0423
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0936
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0353
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0400
utr_p1 0,7953
utr_p2 0,8000
utr_advantage -0,2706
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25060
API ID 15459230
Gamdom ID 648652
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25060,
    "api_id": 15459230,
    "gamdom_id": 648652,
    "player1": "Mackenzie McDonald",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-02T09:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.43,
      "p2": 1.52
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.29,
      "p2": 1.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5353,
    "prob_p2": 0.4647,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5353,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 111,
      "utr_singles": 14.81,
      "utr_ranking": 120,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.81,
      "utr_ranking": 111,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.81,
      "ranking": 120,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.81,
      "ranking": 111,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8,
    "utr_diff": -0.040000000000000924,
    "rank_ratio": 0.49557522123893805,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -418,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.935418875927894,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 18.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.65853658536586,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
    "utr_advantage": -0.2706359945872863,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7020361279771914,
    "rank_advantage": -57,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.4846235418876006,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.066171792152701,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.47221633085897,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6410256410256411,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.1511134676564163,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.421739130434787,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.4459268944043259,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07317073170731707,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.15718145341643,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.398446853962596,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.0422593628505548,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.1362672322375289,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8913043478260869,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.244,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09358536585365862,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.035260869565217456,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.3333333333333357,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}