Mackenzie McDonald vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 13:30
02 Feb 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mackenzie McDonald
Mackenzie …: 53,5%
Aleksandar …: 46,5%
¿Por qué Mackenzie McDonald?
UTR 14,81 vs 14,81
(-0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mackenzie … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,43 | 1,52 | 41,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,87 | 2,15 | 53,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mackenzie …: +21,7%
Aleksandar …: -21,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#111
UTR Rating
14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#111
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -57,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4956 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7020 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -418,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,4846 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,3333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8913 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,6585 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0732 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,4722 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,4217 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,1363 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9354 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,0662 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1511 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,2440 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,4459 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6410 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1572 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3984 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,0423 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0936 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0353 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2706 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25060
API ID
15459230
Gamdom ID
648652
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25060,
"api_id": 15459230,
"gamdom_id": 648652,
"player1": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-02T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.43,
"p2": 1.52
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5353,
"prob_p2": 0.4647,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5353,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 111,
"utr_singles": 14.81,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.81,
"utr_ranking": 111,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.81,
"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.81,
"ranking": 111,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8,
"utr_diff": -0.040000000000000924,
"rank_ratio": 0.49557522123893805,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -418,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.935418875927894,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 18.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.65853658536586,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_advantage": -0.2706359945872863,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7020361279771914,
"rank_advantage": -57,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.4846235418876006,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.066171792152701,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.47221633085897,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6410256410256411,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.1511134676564163,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.421739130434787,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.4459268944043259,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07317073170731707,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.15718145341643,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.398446853962596,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.0422593628505548,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.1362672322375289,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8913043478260869,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.244,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09358536585365862,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.035260869565217456,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.3333333333333357,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}