Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreño Busta
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 15:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pablo Carreño Busta
Miomir …: 48,9% Pablo …: 51,1%
¿Por qué Pablo Carreño Busta?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Miomir … Pablo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,73 2,12 57,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,04 1,96 48,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Miomir …: -7,9% Pablo …: +7,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking #100
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 34,0000
rank_ratio 1,5667
log_rank_ratio 0,4490
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 254,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -19,9362
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -18,0180
surface_matches_ratio 0,8684
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,4848
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,6486
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,4379
first_serve_won_diff 3,0859
second_serve_won_diff -1,6952
bp_saved_diff 1,3388
bp_converted_diff 1,0789
aces_per_match_diff 2,2018
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,4840
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 12,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,3871
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8571
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3571
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 5,5490
serve_consistency_p2 6,8373
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -8,9504
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0492
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2182
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8388
utr_p2 0,8388
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25061
API ID 15459231
Gamdom ID 648651
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25061,
    "api_id": 15459231,
    "gamdom_id": 648651,
    "player1": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
    "player2": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T11:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.12
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 2.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4895,
    "prob_p2": 0.5105,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5105,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 15.13,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 100,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.13,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.8388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5666666666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 254,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.3387559808612366,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4489502200479032,
    "rank_advantage": 34,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -19.93620414673046,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.0789473684210549,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.437886762360442,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3870967741935485,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8571428571428571,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.201754385964912,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.085885167464113,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.5490471393904555,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.83734128422018,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -8.95036323859456,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.6952153110047945,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.868421052631579,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.484000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04915151515151517,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21821052631578952,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.018018018018005,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}