Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreño Busta
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 15:30
03 Feb 2026, 15:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pablo Carreño Busta
Miomir …: 48,9%
Pablo …: 51,1%
¿Por qué Pablo Carreño Busta?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Miomir … | Pablo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,73 | 2,12 | 57,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,04 | 1,96 | 48,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Miomir …: -7,9%
Pablo …: +7,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
15,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking
#100
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4490 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 254,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,9362 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,0180 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8684 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,6486 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0303 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,4379 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0859 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,6952 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,3388 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,0789 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,2018 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,4840 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,3871 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,5490 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8373 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8,9504 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0492 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2182 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8388 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25061
API ID
15459231
Gamdom ID
648651
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25061,
"api_id": 15459231,
"gamdom_id": 648651,
"player1": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
"player2": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.12
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 2.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4895,
"prob_p2": 0.5105,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5105,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 15.13,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 100,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8388235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.5666666666666667,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 254,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.3387559808612366,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.484848484848484,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4489502200479032,
"rank_advantage": 34,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.93620414673046,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.0789473684210549,
"p1_surface_matches": 33,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.437886762360442,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3870967741935485,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8571428571428571,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.201754385964912,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.085885167464113,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.030303030303030304,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.5490471393904555,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.83734128422018,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.95036323859456,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.6952153110047945,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.868421052631579,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.484000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04915151515151517,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21821052631578952,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.018018018018005,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}