Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Luca Nardi
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 15:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz …: 51,8% Luca …: 48,2%
¿Por qué Nikoloz Basilashvili?
UTR 14,51 vs 14,57 (-0,05) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikoloz … Luca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
Gamdom 2,30 1,63 43,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,93 2,07 51,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikoloz …: +15,5% Luca …: -15,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ranking #137
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #171
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/33 = 63,6%
Luca Nardi
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 3,0000
rank_ratio 1,0286
log_rank_ratio 0,0282
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 12,0000
best_rank_diff 51,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,9778
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,8288
surface_matches_ratio 0,8049
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,6364
surface_wr_p2 53,6585
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,1622
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2727
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,6834
first_serve_won_diff -0,3132
second_serve_won_diff 4,7119
bp_saved_diff -0,2254
bp_converted_diff 1,2956
aces_per_match_diff 2,7132
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -80,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -60,8590
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 20,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7660
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4842
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 15,8474
serve_consistency_p2 8,9310
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2811
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1334
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0396
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0500
utr_p1 0,7694
utr_p2 0,7753
utr_advantage -0,3433
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25062
API ID 15459225
Gamdom ID 648649
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25062,
    "api_id": 15459225,
    "gamdom_id": 648649,
    "player1": "Nikoloz Basilashvili",
    "player2": "Luca Nardi",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-04T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.23,
      "p2": 1.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.518,
    "prob_p2": 0.482,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.518,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 137,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 171,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 171,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7694117647058822,
    "utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0285714285714285,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 12,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.2253510716925149,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -79.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.63636363636363,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.65853658536586,
    "utr_advantage": -0.34328870580158405,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 51,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.028170876966696224,
    "rank_advantage": 3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.977827050997774,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.295639320029565,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.683414634146331,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7659574468085106,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4842105263157895,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.713229859571323,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.31322985957133653,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.847393991289971,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.931014190720177,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.2810841382486317,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.16216216216216,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.711899482631189,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8048780487804879,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -60.858999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13336363636363635,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03958536585365857,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.828828828828826,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}