Pedro Martinez vs Adrian Mannarino
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 20:40
02 Feb 2026, 20:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adrian Mannarino
Pedro …: 35,6%
Adrian …: 64,4%
¿Por qué Adrian Mannarino?
UTR 14,64 vs 15,23
(-0,68)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pedro … | Adrian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,31 | 1,62 | 43,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,81 | 1,55 | 35,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Pedro …: -14,4%
Adrian …: +14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Martinez
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#136
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
0% (10p)
WR Hard
6/20 = 30,0%
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
15,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9718 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0286 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -42,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,6389 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5556 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,5539 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,2250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,6333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,2750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,1944 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,4690 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6923 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7532 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0909 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,4408 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,9137 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3334 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1980 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0853 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,5243 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25063
API ID
15459228
Gamdom ID
648654
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25063,
"api_id": 15459228,
"gamdom_id": 648654,
"player1": "Pedro Martinez",
"player2": "Adrian Mannarino",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-02T16:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.31,
"p2": 1.62
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3559,
"prob_p2": 0.6441,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6441,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 136,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 15.23,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.64,
"ranking": 136,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.23,
"ranking": 57,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.6799999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 0.971830985915493,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": -42,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.63333333333334,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": -4.52428476380572,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.028573372444056,
"rank_advantage": -2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.09090909090909091,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.666666666666671,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.275000000000002,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.553888888888892,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6923076923076923,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7531645569620253,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.1944444444444446,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.224999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.4407851237143077,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.913717448216852,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.3333560118473201,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.17500000000000426,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5555555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.469000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.198,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08533333333333326,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.638888888888892,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}