Pedro Martinez vs Adrian Mannarino
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 20:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adrian Mannarino
Pedro …: 35,6% Adrian …: 64,4%
¿Por qué Adrian Mannarino?
UTR 14,64 vs 15,23 (-0,68) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pedro … Adrian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 2,31 1,62 43,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,81 1,55 35,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Pedro …: -14,4% Adrian …: +14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Martinez
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #136
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (10p)
WR Hard 6/20 = 30,0%
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking #70
UTR Rating 15,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,9718
log_rank_ratio -0,0286
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -42,0000
best_rank_diff -19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,6389
surface_matches_ratio 0,5556
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 30,0000
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,5000
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,5539
first_serve_won_diff -4,2250
second_serve_won_diff -0,1750
bp_saved_diff -3,6333
bp_converted_diff -8,2750
aces_per_match_diff -3,1944
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,4690
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6923
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7532
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0909
serve_consistency_p1 3,4408
serve_consistency_p2 8,9137
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3334
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1980
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0853
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6800
utr_p1 0,7871
utr_p2 0,8671
utr_advantage -4,5243
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25063
API ID 15459228
Gamdom ID 648654
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25063,
    "api_id": 15459228,
    "gamdom_id": 648654,
    "player1": "Pedro Martinez",
    "player2": "Adrian Mannarino",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-02T16:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.31,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3559,
    "prob_p2": 0.6441,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6441,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 77,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 136,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 70,
      "utr_singles": 15.23,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 136,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.23,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7870588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.8670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -0.6799999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 0.971830985915493,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": -42,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.63333333333334,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": -4.52428476380572,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.028573372444056,
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.09090909090909091,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.666666666666671,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.275000000000002,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.553888888888892,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6923076923076923,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7531645569620253,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.1944444444444446,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.224999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.4407851237143077,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.913717448216852,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.3333560118473201,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.17500000000000426,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5555555555555556,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.469000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.198,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08533333333333326,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.638888888888892,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}