Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connell
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 23:30
02 Feb 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Roberto …: 28,9%
Christopher …: 71,1%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 15,25 vs 14,79
(+0,45)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roberto … | Christopher … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,68 | 2,21 | 59,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,46 | 1,41 | 28,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Roberto …: -21,1%
Christopher …: +21,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
15,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking
#119
UTR Rating
14,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#112
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2967 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2598 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 149,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -24,7619 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,5752 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,0521 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,9071 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1143 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,3714 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,8571 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,9857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,1610 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5672 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,3394 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1412 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,4338 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2413 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0603 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -24,7619 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,9811 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25064
API ID
15459226
Gamdom ID
648653
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25064,
"api_id": 15459226,
"gamdom_id": 648653,
"player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"player2": "Christopher O'Connell",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-02T19:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.21
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.66,
"p2": 2.21
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2891,
"prob_p2": 0.7109,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7109,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 15.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 119,
"utr_singles": 14.79,
"utr_ranking": 112,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 54,
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"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 112,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.45000000000000107,
"rank_ratio": 1.2967032967032968,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 149,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.3714285714285808,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 2.9811195760185565,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 44,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.25982511794881474,
"rank_advantage": 27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -24.761904761904766,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.857142857142858,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.052142857142854,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5671641791044776,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.9857142857142858,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9071428571428584,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.339391025992927,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.141200292956201,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.433764825399224,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.11428571428572099,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.1609999999999978,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -24.761904761904766,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.24128571428571433,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06033333333333335,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.575163398692817,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}