Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connell
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
02 Feb 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Christopher O'Connell
Roberto …: 28,9% Christopher …: 71,1%
¿Por qué Christopher O'Connell?
UTR 15,25 vs 14,79 (+0,45) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roberto … Christopher … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,68 2,21 59,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,46 1,41 28,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Roberto …: -21,1% Christopher …: +21,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 15,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking #119
UTR Rating 14,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #112
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 16/30 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 1,2967
log_rank_ratio 0,2598
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 149,0000
best_rank_diff 44,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -24,7619
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,5752
surface_matches_ratio 0,4667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,0521
first_serve_won_diff 1,9071
second_serve_won_diff -0,1143
bp_saved_diff -3,3714
bp_converted_diff -11,8571
aces_per_match_diff -3,9857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,1610
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5672
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7333
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2000
serve_consistency_p1 2,3394
serve_consistency_p2 6,1412
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,4338
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2413
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0603
elite_surface_amplifier -24,7619
UTR
utr_diff 0,4500
utr_p1 0,8612
utr_p2 0,8082
utr_advantage 2,9811
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25064
API ID 15459226
Gamdom ID 648653
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25064,
    "api_id": 15459226,
    "gamdom_id": 648653,
    "player1": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
    "player2": "Christopher O'Connell",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-02T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.21
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.66,
      "p2": 2.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2891,
    "prob_p2": 0.7109,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7109,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 15.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 119,
      "utr_singles": 14.79,
      "utr_ranking": 112,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.79,
      "ranking": 112,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_diff": 0.45000000000000107,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2967032967032968,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 149,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.3714285714285808,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 2.9811195760185565,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 44,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.25982511794881474,
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -24.761904761904766,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.857142857142858,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.052142857142854,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5671641791044776,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.9857142857142858,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.9071428571428584,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.339391025992927,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.141200292956201,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.433764825399224,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.11428571428572099,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.1609999999999978,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -24.761904761904766,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.24128571428571433,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06033333333333335,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.575163398692817,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}