Ugo Humbert vs Botic Van de Zandschulp
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 19:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Ugo …: 66,9% Botic …: 33,1%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,47 vs 15,20 (+0,34) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Botic … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,40 75,2%
Gamdom 1,29 3,65 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 3,02 66,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Ugo …: -5,0% Botic …: +5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking #38
UTR Rating 15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/29 = 62,1%
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking #67
UTR Rating 15,20 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 42,0000
rank_ratio 2,2727
log_rank_ratio 0,8210
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 751,0000
best_rank_diff 9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,5841
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,7581
surface_matches_ratio 0,8788
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,0690
surface_wr_p2 48,4848
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,6061
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,6486
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2414
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,9761
first_serve_won_diff 3,8665
second_serve_won_diff 1,2818
bp_saved_diff 0,5994
bp_converted_diff -3,6799
aces_per_match_diff 2,3292
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -13,9600
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7136
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5904
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3077
serve_consistency_p1 4,1301
serve_consistency_p2 7,2184
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,1523
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0787
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0268
elite_surface_amplifier 13,5841
UTR
utr_diff 0,3400
utr_p1 0,8741
utr_p2 0,8341
utr_advantage 2,2280
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25065
API ID 15459229
Gamdom ID 648648
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25065,
    "api_id": 15459229,
    "gamdom_id": 648648,
    "player1": "Ugo Humbert",
    "player2": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T15:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6687,
    "prob_p2": 0.3313,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6687,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 38,
      "utr_singles": 15.47,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 67,
      "utr_singles": 15.2,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
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      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
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      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 751,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.5993730407523401,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.06896551724138,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
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    "surface_wr_diff": 13.584117032392896,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.6799373040752386,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7135678391959799,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5903614457831325,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.329153605015674,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.8664576802508037,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2413793103448276,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.130140782947071,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07868965517241377,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.758121758121758,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}