Ugo Humbert vs Botic Van de Zandschulp
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 19:25
03 Feb 2026, 19:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Ugo …: 66,9%
Botic …: 33,1%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,47 vs 15,20
(+0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ugo … | Botic … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,40 | 75,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,29 | 3,65 | 77,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,50 | 3,02 | 66,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ugo …: -5,0%
Botic …: +5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Botic Van de Zandschulp
Ranking
#67
UTR Rating
15,20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 42,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2727 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8210 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 751,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,5841 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,7581 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8788 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,0690 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,4848 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,6061 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,6486 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2414 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,9761 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,8665 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,2818 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,5994 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,6799 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3292 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -13,9600 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7136 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5904 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,1301 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,2184 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,1523 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0787 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0268 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 13,5841 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,2280 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25065
API ID
15459229
Gamdom ID
648648
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25065,
"api_id": 15459229,
"gamdom_id": 648648,
"player1": "Ugo Humbert",
"player2": "Botic Van de Zandschulp",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T15:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6687,
"prob_p2": 0.3313,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6687,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 67,
"utr_singles": 15.2,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
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"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 2.272727272727273,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 751,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5993730407523401,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -21.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.06896551724138,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.484848484848484,
"utr_advantage": 2.2280471821756214,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8209805520698303,
"rank_advantage": 42,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.584117032392896,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.6799373040752386,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.976081504702208,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7135678391959799,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5903614457831325,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.329153605015674,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.8664576802508037,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2413793103448276,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.130140782947071,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.218362692356261,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.152295900635105,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.64864864864865,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.2818181818181955,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8787878787878788,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -13.959999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 13.584117032392896,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07868965517241377,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0268484848484849,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.758121758121758,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}