Valentin Royer vs Arthur Fils
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 21:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fils
Valentin …: 46,3% Arthur …: 53,7%
¿Por qué Arthur Fils?
UTR 15,06 vs 15,50 (-0,50) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Valentin … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 2,20 1,68 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,16 1,86 46,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Valentin …: -3,7% Arthur …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentin Royer
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #84
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Arthur Fils
Ranking #42
UTR Rating 15,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #21
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -16,0000
rank_ratio 0,7241
log_rank_ratio -0,3228
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -286,0000
best_rank_diff -42,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 2,2222
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,1111
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,0909
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,8664
first_serve_won_diff 0,8111
second_serve_won_diff 0,7956
bp_saved_diff 6,3800
bp_converted_diff 3,3689
aces_per_match_diff 0,1111
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -40,4250
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 183,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1019
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5294
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 7,5763
serve_consistency_p2 6,2849
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3586
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1160
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0951
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5000
utr_p1 0,8341
utr_p2 0,8929
utr_advantage -3,2595
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25066
API ID 15459224
Gamdom ID 648655
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25066,
    "api_id": 15459224,
    "gamdom_id": 648655,
    "player1": "Valentin Royer",
    "player2": "Arthur Fils",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T17:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.68
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.19,
      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4627,
    "prob_p2": 0.5373,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5373,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 84,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 42,
      "utr_singles": 15.5,
      "utr_ranking": 21,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.06,
      "ranking": 84,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.5,
      "ranking": 21,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.8929411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.5,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7241379310344828,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -286,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.38000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.111111111111114,
    "utr_advantage": -3.259452411994785,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -42,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.322773392263051,
    "rank_advantage": -16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.1111111111111143,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.3688888888888826,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.8664444444444399,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1018518518518519,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.11111111111111072,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8111111111111029,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.576312494595095,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.28490688907698,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.35863710251450215,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.795555555555552,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.2222222222222223,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -40.42500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 183,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11599999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09511111111111115,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}