Valentin Royer vs Arthur Fils
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 21:30
03 Feb 2026, 21:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fils
Valentin …: 46,3%
Arthur …: 53,7%
¿Por qué Arthur Fils?
UTR 15,06 vs 15,50
(-0,50)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Valentin … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,20 | 1,68 | 45,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,16 | 1,86 | 46,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Valentin …: -3,7%
Arthur …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentin Royer
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Arthur Fils
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
15,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7241 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3228 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -286,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -42,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,2222 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,0909 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,8664 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,8111 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7956 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,3800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,3689 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1111 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -40,4250 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 183,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1019 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5763 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2849 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3586 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0951 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8929 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,2595 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25066
API ID
15459224
Gamdom ID
648655
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25066,
"api_id": 15459224,
"gamdom_id": 648655,
"player1": "Valentin Royer",
"player2": "Arthur Fils",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.68
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.19,
"p2": 1.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4627,
"prob_p2": 0.5373,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5373,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 15.5,
"utr_ranking": 21,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 21,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8929411764705882,
"utr_diff": -0.5,
"rank_ratio": 0.7241379310344828,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -286,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.38000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.111111111111114,
"utr_advantage": -3.259452411994785,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -42,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.322773392263051,
"rank_advantage": -16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.1111111111111143,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.3688888888888826,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.8664444444444399,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1018518518518519,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.11111111111111072,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.8111111111111029,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.576312494595095,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.28490688907698,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.35863710251450215,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.795555555555552,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.2222222222222223,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -40.42500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 183,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11599999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09511111111111115,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}