Matteo Martineau vs Martin Damm Jr
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 13:30
01 Feb 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Matteo …: 38,0%
Martin …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Martin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,85 | 1,38 | 35,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,63 | 1,61 | 38,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Matteo …: +2,5%
Martin …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Martineau
Ranking
#334
UTR Rating
14,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#292
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51,4%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking
#160
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -105,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6277 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4658 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -140,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,8660 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,3734 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6087 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,9630 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0270 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,5331 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,1682 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,9261 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2456 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,5702 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,7356 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,8500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 89,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5600 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8428 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9014 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,4582 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1185 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0472 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7388 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25105
API ID
15459999
Gamdom ID
650155
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25105,
"api_id": 15459999,
"gamdom_id": 650155,
"player1": "Matteo Martineau",
"player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.85,
"p2": 1.38
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.94,
"p2": 1.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3798,
"prob_p2": 0.6202,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6202,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 334,
"utr_singles": 14.18,
"utr_ranking": 292,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 160,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.18,
"ranking": 292,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7388235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.6276595744680851,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -140,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.24559341950646285,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.21739130434783,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 3,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4657573383642845,
"rank_advantage": -105,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.56,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.86603995299648,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.5701527614571091,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.533113983548759,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.73560517038778,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.168155111633368,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.8428260017107756,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.901412641646972,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.458209862160469,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.96296296296296,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.926086956521736,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.608695652173913,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.85000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 89,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11851351351351347,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04717391304347829,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.373381511592893,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}