Matteo Martineau vs Martin Damm Jr
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Matteo …: 38,0% Martin …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matteo … Martin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,85 1,38 35,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,63 1,61 38,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Matteo …: +2,5% Martin …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Martineau
Ranking #334
UTR Rating 14,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #292
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking #160
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -105,0000
rank_ratio 0,6277
log_rank_ratio -0,4658
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -140,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,8660
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,3734
surface_matches_ratio 1,6087
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,3514
surface_wr_p2 65,2174
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2195
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,9630
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0270
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,5331
first_serve_won_diff -5,1682
second_serve_won_diff -4,9261
bp_saved_diff 0,2456
bp_converted_diff -0,5702
aces_per_match_diff -3,7356
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18,8500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 89,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,5625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5600
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 3,8428
serve_consistency_p2 4,9014
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,4582
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1185
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0472
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7388
utr_p2 0,7388
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25105
API ID 15459999
Gamdom ID 650155
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25105,
    "api_id": 15459999,
    "gamdom_id": 650155,
    "player1": "Matteo Martineau",
    "player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T09:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.85,
      "p2": 1.38
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.94,
      "p2": 1.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3798,
    "prob_p2": 0.6202,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6202,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 334,
      "utr_singles": 14.18,
      "utr_ranking": 292,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 160,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 292,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6276595744680851,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -140,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.24559341950646285,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.21739130434783,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4657573383642845,
    "rank_advantage": -105,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.56,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.86603995299648,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.5701527614571091,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.533113983548759,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.73560517038778,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.168155111633368,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.8428260017107756,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.901412641646972,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.458209862160469,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.96296296296296,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.926086956521736,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.608695652173913,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.85000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 89,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11851351351351347,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04717391304347829,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.373381511592893,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}