Ugo Blanchet vs Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 15:35
01 Feb 2026, 15:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Blanchet
Ugo …: 77,9%
Bernabe …: 22,1%
¿Por qué Ugo Blanchet?
UTR 14,54 vs 13,59
(+0,95)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ugo … | Bernabe … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,28 | 4,52 | 77,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking
#174
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#161
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Ranking
#466
UTR Rating
13,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#624
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
3/10 = 30,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 321,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,2606 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1819 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 339,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -102,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,6697 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 35,7143 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 16,8386 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 11,9629 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,8571 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7171 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,1057 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,4000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 43,7700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 116,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7943 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5477 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,9012 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 35,4570 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2210 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1210 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 30,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6565 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,7592 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25108
API ID
15459996
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25108,
"api_id": 15459996,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ugo Blanchet",
"player2": "Bernabe Zapata Miralles",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T11:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 7.86
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7787,
"prob_p2": 0.2213,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7787,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 161,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 466,
"utr_singles": 13.59,
"utr_ranking": 624,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 161,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.59,
"ranking": 624,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6564705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.9499999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 3.26056338028169,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 339,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.7171428571428535,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 30.0,
"utr_advantage": 6.75916044112415,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -102,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1818999964849732,
"rank_advantage": 321,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8666666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.105714285714292,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": 16.83857142857144,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7943262411347518,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.3999999999999995,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 11.962857142857146,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.547659808913055,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.9011539188614006,
"surface_rank_synergy": 35.4569998945492,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 35.714285714285715,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.857142857142861,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 43.77000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 30.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 116,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22099999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12099999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.669719169719173,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}