Ugo Blanchet vs Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 15:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Blanchet
Ugo …: 77,9% Bernabe …: 22,1%
¿Por qué Ugo Blanchet?
UTR 14,54 vs 13,59 (+0,95) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Bernabe … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,52 77,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking #174
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #161
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
Ranking #466
UTR Rating 13,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #624
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 3/10 = 30,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 321,0000
rank_ratio 3,2606
log_rank_ratio 1,1819
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 339,0000
best_rank_diff -102,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 30,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,6697
surface_matches_ratio 3,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 30,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 35,7143
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 16,8386
first_serve_won_diff 11,9629
second_serve_won_diff 6,8571
bp_saved_diff 1,7171
bp_converted_diff 6,1057
aces_per_match_diff 4,4000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 43,7700
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 116,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7943
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,5477
serve_consistency_p2 2,9012
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 35,4570
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2210
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1210
elite_surface_amplifier 30,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,9500
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,6565
utr_advantage 6,7592
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25108
API ID 15459996
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25108,
    "api_id": 15459996,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ugo Blanchet",
    "player2": "Bernabe Zapata Miralles",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T11:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 7.86
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7787,
    "prob_p2": 0.2213,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7787,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 161,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 466,
      "utr_singles": 13.59,
      "utr_ranking": 624,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 161,
      "division": "Pro",
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 624,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.6564705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.9499999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 3.26056338028169,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 339,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.7171428571428535,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 30.0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.75916044112415,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -102,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1818999964849732,
    "rank_advantage": 321,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8666666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 30.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.105714285714292,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 16.83857142857144,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7943262411347518,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.3999999999999995,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 11.962857142857146,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.547659808913055,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.9011539188614006,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 35.4569998945492,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 35.714285714285715,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.857142857142861,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 43.77000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 30.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 116,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22099999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12099999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.669719169719173,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}