Moise Kouame vs Elias Ymer
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 17:30
01 Feb 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elias Ymer
Moise …: 11,5%
Elias …: 88,5%
¿Por qué Elias Ymer?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,23
(-0,40)
— Niveles similares
Moise …
W21-L16
57% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Elias …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Moise … | Elias … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 8,67 | 1,13 | 11,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Moise …: -26,0%
Elias …: +26,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Moise Kouame
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,97 Junior
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Elias Ymer
Ranking
#159
UTR Rating
14,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#274
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Moise Kouame
Record 2025
21W - 16L (57%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Elias Ymer
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -325,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0498 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -337,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -395,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -38,5417 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -63,2921 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -72,8571 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -54,3071 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -62,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -43,3643 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,2857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -46,3576 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 256,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,6922 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6529 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 67,4886 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1750 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1821 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,8571 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25109
API ID
15459995
Gamdom ID
650158
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25109,
"api_id": 15459995,
"gamdom_id": 650158,
"player1": "Moise Kouame",
"player2": "Elias Ymer",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T13:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.57
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.34,
"p2": 1.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1153,
"prob_p2": 0.8847,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8847,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.75675675675676,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.4,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.46,
"opponent_name": "Ye Chen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.67,
"opponent_name": "Gabriele Pennaforti"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.49,
"opponent_name": "Noah Schlagenhauf"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.8,
"opponent_name": "Denis Petak"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Lars Goran Verwerft"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:53.158864+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 159,
"utr_singles": 14.23,
"utr_ranking": 274,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.23,
"ranking": 274,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6823529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.35,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -337,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -62.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -57.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
"utr_advantage": -2.857142857142847,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -395,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
"rank_advantage": -325,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -64.28571428571429,
"bp_converted_diff": -43.36428571428571,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -63.292142857142856,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.285714285714286,
"combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -72.85714285714286,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.692176870748302,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.652945350909182,
"surface_rank_synergy": 67.48856514634359,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -54.30714285714286,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -46.35757142857145,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 256,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17500000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18214285714285705,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -38.54166666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}