Moise Kouame vs Elias Ymer
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elias Ymer
Moise …: 11,5% Elias …: 88,5%
¿Por qué Elias Ymer?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,23 (-0,40) — Niveles similares
Moise …
W21-L16
57% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Elias …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Moise … Elias … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
Gamdom 2,25 1,57 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 8,67 1,13 11,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Moise …: -26,0% Elias …: +26,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Moise Kouame
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,97 Junior
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Elias Ymer
Ranking #159
UTR Rating 14,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #274
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Moise Kouame
Record 2025 21W - 16L (57%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13,4
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Elias Ymer
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -325,0000
rank_ratio 0,3500
log_rank_ratio -1,0498
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -337,0000
best_rank_diff -395,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -64,2857
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -38,5417
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 64,2857
surface_wr_p1_stable 0,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,5000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,6167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -63,2921
first_serve_won_diff -72,8571
second_serve_won_diff -54,3071
bp_saved_diff -62,0000
bp_converted_diff -43,3643
aces_per_match_diff -5,2857
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -46,3576
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 256,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 11,6922
serve_consistency_p2 6,6529
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 67,4886
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1750
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1821
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4000
utr_p1 0,6824
utr_p2 0,7294
utr_advantage -2,8571
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25109
API ID 15459995
Gamdom ID 650158
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25109,
    "api_id": 15459995,
    "gamdom_id": 650158,
    "player1": "Moise Kouame",
    "player2": "Elias Ymer",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T13:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.57
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.34,
      "p2": 1.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1153,
    "prob_p2": 0.8847,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8847,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.97,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.75675675675676,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.4,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.46,
          "opponent_name": "Ye Chen"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.67,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriele Pennaforti"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Schlagenhauf"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Denis Petak"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lars Goran Verwerft"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:53.158864+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 159,
      "utr_singles": 14.23,
      "utr_ranking": 274,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.97,
      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.23,
      "ranking": 274,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6823529411764707,
    "utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.35,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -337,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -62.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -57.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
    "utr_advantage": -2.857142857142847,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -395,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0498221244986778,
    "rank_advantage": -325,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -64.28571428571429,
    "bp_converted_diff": -43.36428571428571,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -63.292142857142856,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.285714285714286,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -72.85714285714286,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.692176870748302,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.652945350909182,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 67.48856514634359,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -54.30714285714286,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -46.35757142857145,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 256,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17500000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18214285714285705,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -38.54166666666667,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}