Lilli Tagger vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
Miami | Hard | Qualification Round 1
16 Mar 2025, 15:00
16 Mar 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lilli … | Sara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lilli Tagger
Ranking
#153
UTR Rating
11.89 Junior
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55.6%
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Ranking
#294
UTR Rating
11.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#191
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
25/48 = 52.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 141.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.9216 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.6531 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 238.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -120.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1.7778 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.4473 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.7778 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.9615 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.9231 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 48.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.0694 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.4607 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.7958 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11.5040 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10.1441 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.8889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.8571 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2.2529 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 94.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2727 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.0372 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12.4523 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.1611 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0910 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2088 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1.7778 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4282 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.1249 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2511
API ID
13620034
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Miami
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 2511,
"api_id": 13620034,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lilli Tagger",
"player2": "Sara Sorribes Tormo",
"tournament": "Miami",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-03-16T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 153,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 294,
"utr_singles": 11.64,
"utr_ranking": 191,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.083333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 191,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.9215686274509804,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6531418459462461,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 238,
"best_rank_diff": -120,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.7777777777777857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.4473076923076884,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.99999999999999,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.77777777777778,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.96153846153846,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.92307692307693,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 48,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.069377777777774,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.4606666666666612,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.795777777777779,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.503999999999998,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.144111111111108,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8888888888888886,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.857142857142861,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.2528571428571453,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 94,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.037234042553195,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.452311784687295,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.1611410594599982,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09100000000000008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20877777777777784,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.7777777777777857,
"utr_diff": 0.25,
"utr_p1": 0.45764705882352946,
"utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
"utr_advantage": 2.124946876328092,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}