Roberto Carballés Baena vs Andrea Vavassori
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 19:00
01 Feb 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Vavassori
Roberto …: 50,0%
Andrea …: 50,1%
¿Por qué Andrea Vavassori?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roberto … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,00 | 2,00 | 50,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Roberto …: -0,1%
Andrea …: +0,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Carballés Baena
Ranking
#175
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/18 = 38,9%
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking
#282
UTR Rating
14,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#135
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/13 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 144,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9796 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6829 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 242,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 79,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,6496 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,6141 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,9091 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,8235 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,7881 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2158 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,0906 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,8786 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,9017 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,2265 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -31,2790 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 18,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2366 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,5749 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3251 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -15,4672 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2551 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2594 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -22,6496 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7847 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25116
API ID
15460001
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25116,
"api_id": 15460001,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Roberto Carball\u00e9s Baena",
"player2": "Andrea Vavassori",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.88,
"p2": 1.88
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4995,
"prob_p2": 0.5005,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5005,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 175,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 282,
"utr_singles": 14.7,
"utr_ranking": 135,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.7,
"ranking": 135,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7847058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.9795918367346939,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 242,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.878632478632461,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.6,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.88888888888889,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.53846153846154,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 79,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6828906803927562,
"rank_advantage": 144,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.649572649572647,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.901709401709397,
"p1_surface_matches": 18,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.788076923076908,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2365591397849462,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.2264957264957257,
"combined_confidence": 0.5366666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.21581196581196593,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.574921346687084,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.3250828251899,
"surface_rank_synergy": -15.467182077271827,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.090598290598287,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3846153846153846,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -31.279000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -22.649572649572647,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25511111111111107,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.25938461538461544,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.614081996434937,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}