Roberto Carballés Baena vs Andrea Vavassori
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Vavassori
Roberto …: 50,0% Andrea …: 50,1%
¿Por qué Andrea Vavassori?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roberto … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,00 2,00 50,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Roberto …: -0,1% Andrea …: +0,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Carballés Baena
Ranking #175
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/18 = 38,9%
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking #282
UTR Rating 14,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #135
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/13 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 144,0000
rank_ratio 1,9796
log_rank_ratio 0,6829
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 242,0000
best_rank_diff 79,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -22,6496
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,6141
surface_matches_ratio 1,3846
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 38,8889
surface_wr_p2 61,5385
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,9091
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,8235
p1_surface_matches 18,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2222
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6000
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,5367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,7881
first_serve_won_diff -0,2158
second_serve_won_diff -4,0906
bp_saved_diff -6,8786
bp_converted_diff 8,9017
aces_per_match_diff -3,2265
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -31,2790
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 18,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2366
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,5749
serve_consistency_p2 6,3251
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -15,4672
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2551
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2594
elite_surface_amplifier -22,6496
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7847
utr_p2 0,7847
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25116
API ID 15460001
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25116,
    "api_id": 15460001,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Roberto Carball\u00e9s Baena",
    "player2": "Andrea Vavassori",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.88,
      "p2": 1.88
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4995,
    "prob_p2": 0.5005,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5005,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 175,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 282,
      "utr_singles": 14.7,
      "utr_ranking": 135,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.7,
      "ranking": 135,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7847058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.7847058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9795918367346939,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 242,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.878632478632461,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 38.88888888888889,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.53846153846154,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 79,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6828906803927562,
    "rank_advantage": 144,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -22.649572649572647,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.901709401709397,
    "p1_surface_matches": 18,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.788076923076908,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2365591397849462,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.2264957264957257,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5366666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.21581196581196593,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.574921346687084,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.3250828251899,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -15.467182077271827,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.909090909090914,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.090598290598287,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3846153846153846,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -31.279000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -22.649572649572647,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25511111111111107,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.25938461538461544,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.614081996434937,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}