Luca Nardi vs Kyrian Jacquet
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Final
01 Feb 2026, 19:00
01 Feb 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kyrian Jacquet
Luca …: 33,9%
Kyrian …: 66,1%
¿Por qué Kyrian Jacquet?
UTR 14,57 vs 14,82
(-0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luca … | Kyrian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,95 | 1,51 | 33,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Luca …: -12,5%
Kyrian …: +12,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Kyrian Jacquet
Ranking
#102
UTR Rating
14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1852 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1699 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 84,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,7625 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,3333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0789 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,6585 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0732 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,4913 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,6960 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,7845 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,8960 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,9015 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6040 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4842 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7692 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2634 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6661 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,5081 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0166 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2042 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7800 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,2738 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25117
API ID
15403385
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25117,
"api_id": 15403385,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luca Nardi",
"player2": "Kyrian Jacquet",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-02-01T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.9,
"p2": 1.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.339,
"prob_p2": 0.661,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.661,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 102,
"utr_singles": 14.82,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.57,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.82,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.7800000000000001,
"utr_diff": -0.040000000000000924,
"rank_ratio": 1.1851851851851851,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 84,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.8960205391527793,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.65853658536586,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
"utr_advantage": -0.27378507871321645,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 61,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.16989903679539742,
"rank_advantage": 20,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.762516046213086,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.9015404364569974,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.491309370988446,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4842105263157895,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6039794608472406,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.6960205391527552,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07317073170731707,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.263432808464591,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.666110094623079,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.508137256928202,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.784467265725283,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0789473684210527,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01658536585365855,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2042105263157895,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.333333333333321,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}