Juan Estevez vs Valentin Garay
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 22:00
01 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Estevez
Juan …: 53,3%
Valentin …: 46,7%
¿Por qué Juan Estevez?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,08 | 7,00 | 92,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,88 | 2,14 | 53,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: -33,3%
Valentin …: +33,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Estevez
Ranking
#449
UTR Rating
13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#390
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Clay
3/10 = 30,0%
Valentin Garay
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0989 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0943 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 99,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,2381 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 10,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 42,7800 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 56,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 42,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 59,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 35,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,8984 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,8293 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2450 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4550 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25121
API ID
15460635
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25121,
"api_id": 15460635,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Estevez",
"player2": "Valentin Garay",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0833333333333333,
"p2": 7.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 8.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5329,
"prob_p2": 0.4671,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5329,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 449,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 390,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 390,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.098901098901099,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 99,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 59.8,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.09431067947124142,
"rank_advantage": 45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 35.4,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 42.78,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8,
"combined_confidence": 0.3666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 56.8,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.898368121366541,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.8293203841372425,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.714285714285715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 42.6,
"surface_matches_ratio": 10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.24499999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.45500000000000007,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.238095238095238,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}