Juan Manuel La Serna vs Mateo Del Pino
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 23:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan …: 83,9% Mateo …: 16,1%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel La Serna?
UTR 13,81 vs 13,04 (+0,77) — Niveles similares
Juan …
Sin datos
Mateo …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W2
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Mateo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,19 6,23 83,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: +10,8% Mateo …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking #386
UTR Rating 13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #494
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 56% (9p)
WR Clay 8/17 = 47,1%
Mateo Del Pino
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #1058
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juan Manuel La Serna
Sin datos UTR v4
Mateo Del Pino
Record 2025 37W - 21L (64%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W W L W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 88,0000
rank_ratio 1,2136
log_rank_ratio 0,1936
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 115,0000
best_rank_diff 88,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 47,0588
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,0317
surface_matches_ratio 17,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,0588
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,6190
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 48,6276
first_serve_won_diff 60,5000
second_serve_won_diff 54,2000
bp_saved_diff 57,7000
bp_converted_diff 41,1000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0588
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 34,0500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 17,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 363,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,2451
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,1099
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1174
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4120
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7700
utr_p1 0,6835
utr_p2 0,5929
utr_advantage 5,7356
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25123
API ID 15460634
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25123,
    "api_id": 15460634,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
    "player2": "Mateo Del Pino",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T19:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8394,
    "prob_p2": 0.1606,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8394,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 386,
      "utr_singles": 13.81,
      "utr_ranking": 494,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.04,
      "utr_ranking": 1058,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.45,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rodrigo Varillas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.22,
          "opponent_name": "Tobia Grandinetti"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.08,
          "opponent_name": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.98,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Ignacio Centurion Delvalle"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.68,
          "opponent_name": "Valerio Aboian"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:41.008517+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.81,
      "ranking": 494,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.04,
      "ranking": 1058,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6835294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.5929411764705881,
    "utr_diff": 0.7700000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2135922330097086,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 115,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 57.7,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.735567970204851,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 88,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.19358474907266526,
    "rank_advantage": 88,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 47.05882352941176,
    "bp_converted_diff": 41.1,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 48.627647058823534,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0588235294117647,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 60.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.245080103015521,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.109870544596012,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 54.2,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 17.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 34.05,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 363,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1174117647058825,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4119999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.0317460317460343,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}