Juan Manuel La Serna vs Mateo Del Pino
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 23:15
01 Feb 2026, 23:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan …: 83,9%
Mateo …: 16,1%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel La Serna?
UTR 13,81 vs 13,04
(+0,77)
— Niveles similares
Juan …
Sin datos
Mateo …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W2
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Mateo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,29 | 3,50 | 77,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,19 | 6,23 | 83,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: +10,8%
Mateo …: -10,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking
#386
UTR Rating
13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#494
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47,1%
Mateo Del Pino
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1058
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juan Manuel La Serna
Sin datos UTR v4
Mateo Del Pino
Record 2025
37W - 21L (64%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 88,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2136 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1936 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 115,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 88,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,0317 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 17,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 48,6276 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 60,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 54,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 57,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 41,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0588 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34,0500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 363,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2451 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,1099 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1174 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4120 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5929 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,7356 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25123
API ID
15460634
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25123,
"api_id": 15460634,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
"player2": "Mateo Del Pino",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T19:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2857142857142856,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8394,
"prob_p2": 0.1606,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8394,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 386,
"utr_singles": 13.81,
"utr_ranking": 494,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.04,
"utr_ranking": 1058,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 37,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.45,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Rodrigo Varillas"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.22,
"opponent_name": "Tobia Grandinetti"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.08,
"opponent_name": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.98,
"opponent_name": "Juan Ignacio Centurion Delvalle"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.68,
"opponent_name": "Valerio Aboian"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:41.008517+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.81,
"ranking": 494,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.04,
"ranking": 1058,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6835294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.5929411764705881,
"utr_diff": 0.7700000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.2135922330097086,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 115,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 57.7,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.735567970204851,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 88,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.19358474907266526,
"rank_advantage": 88,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 47.05882352941176,
"bp_converted_diff": 41.1,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 48.627647058823534,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0588235294117647,
"combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 60.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.245080103015521,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.109870544596012,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 54.2,
"surface_matches_ratio": 17.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.05,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 363,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1174117647058825,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4119999999999999,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.0317460317460343,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}