Maximo Zeitune vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 23:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valerio Aboian
Maximo …: 39,8% Valerio …: 60,2%
¿Por qué Valerio Aboian?
UTR 13,41 vs 13,67 (-0,26) — Niveles similares
Maximo …
W34-L21
62% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W2
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maximo … Valerio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,51 1,66 39,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Maximo …: +0,6% Valerio …: -0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maximo Zeitune
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #762
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Clay 3/6 = 50,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #575
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Clay 10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maximo Zeitune
Record 2025 34W - 21L (62%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025 30W - 19L (61%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Valerio Aboian ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,3 vs 12,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,2273
surface_matches_ratio 0,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,4900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,8611
first_serve_won_diff 5,0000
second_serve_won_diff -7,5000
bp_saved_diff -1,2000
bp_converted_diff 15,9000
aces_per_match_diff -1,5556
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,0667
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 33,3333
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -16,6667
weighted_momentum_diff -12,6200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 19,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3689
serve_consistency_p2 7,1333
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0556
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2600
utr_p1 0,6365
utr_p2 0,6671
utr_advantage -1,9202
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25124
API ID 15460644
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25124,
    "api_id": 15460644,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Maximo Zeitune",
    "player2": "Valerio Aboian",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T19:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.55,
      "p2": 1.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.398,
    "prob_p2": 0.602,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.602,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.41,
      "utr_ranking": 762,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.81818181818181,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.73,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.09,
          "opponent_name": "Federico Aguilar Cardozo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.19,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Collarini"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Jose Pereira"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:45.374989+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.67,
      "utr_ranking": 575,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.77,
          "opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.16,
          "opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.94,
          "opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.41,
      "ranking": 762,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.67,
      "ranking": 575,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6364705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.20000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666671,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -16.66666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": -1.92023633677991,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.899999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.8611111111111143,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.5555555555555558,
    "combined_confidence": 0.49,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.368939446159219,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.1332716337257125,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.500000000000007,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.620000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 19,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05555555555555558,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.2272727272727244,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}