Maximo Zeitune vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 23:40
01 Feb 2026, 23:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valerio Aboian
Maximo …: 39,8%
Valerio …: 60,2%
¿Por qué Valerio Aboian?
UTR 13,41 vs 13,67
(-0,26)
— Niveles similares
Maximo …
W34-L21
62% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W2
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maximo … | Valerio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,51 | 1,66 | 39,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maximo …: +0,6%
Valerio …: -0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maximo Zeitune
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#762
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Clay
3/6 = 50,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#575
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Clay
10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maximo Zeitune
Record 2025
34W - 21L (62%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
12,7
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
L
W
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025
30W - 19L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Valerio Aboian ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,3 vs 12,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,2273 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,8611 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5556 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -16,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,6200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 19,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3689 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1333 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0556 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6671 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9202 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25124
API ID
15460644
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25124,
"api_id": 15460644,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maximo Zeitune",
"player2": "Valerio Aboian",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T19:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.398,
"prob_p2": 0.602,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.602,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.41,
"utr_ranking": 762,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.81818181818181,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.73,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.09,
"opponent_name": "Federico Aguilar Cardozo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.19,
"opponent_name": "Andrea Collarini"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.2,
"opponent_name": "Jose Pereira"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:45.374989+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.67,
"utr_ranking": 575,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.43,
"opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.77,
"opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.16,
"opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.41,
"ranking": 762,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.67,
"ranking": 575,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6364705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.20000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666671,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -16.66666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": -1.92023633677991,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.8611111111111143,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5555555555555558,
"combined_confidence": 0.49,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.368939446159219,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.1332716337257125,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.500000000000007,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.620000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 19,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05555555555555558,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.2272727272727244,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}