Wilson Leite vs Lucio Ratti
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 23:20
01 Feb 2026, 23:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucio Ratti
Wilson …: 43,3%
Lucio …: 56,7%
¿Por qué Lucio Ratti?
UTR 13,18 vs 13,56
(-0,38)
— Niveles similares
Wilson …
W24-L33
42% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L1
Lucio …
W56-L29
66% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Wilson … | Lucio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,31 | 1,76 | 43,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Wilson …: +7,8%
Lucio …: -7,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Wilson Leite
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#956
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Clay
8/19 = 42,1%
Lucio Ratti
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#661
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Clay
4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Wilson Leite
Record 2025
24W - 33L (42%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Lucio Ratti
Record 2025
56W - 29L (66%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Wilson Leite ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,2 vs 12,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,1053 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,3313 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,1053 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,4783 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1579 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,2263 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0632 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 18,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,4367 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,1450 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0789 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6541 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,8422 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25125
API ID
15460637
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25125,
"api_id": 15460637,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Wilson Leite",
"player2": "Lucio Ratti",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T19:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.11,
"p2": 1.32
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4329,
"prob_p2": 0.5671,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5671,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.18,
"utr_ranking": 956,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 24,
"utr_v4_losses": 33,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.10526315789473,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.24,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.06,
"opponent_name": "Daniel Antonio Nunez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.55,
"opponent_name": "Justin Roberts"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.82,
"opponent_name": "Valentin Basel"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Enzo Prediger"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.46,
"opponent_name": "Laelson Rodrigues"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:02.133708+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 42.10526315789473,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.56,
"utr_ranking": 661,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 56,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.88235294117646,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.77,
"opponent_name": "Juan Manuel La Serna"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.39,
"opponent_name": "Hady Habib"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "bautista de la Pena"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.83,
"opponent_name": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.27,
"opponent_name": "Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:27.088757+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.18,
"ranking": 956,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.56,
"ranking": 661,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.6541176470588236,
"utr_diff": -0.3800000000000008,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.899999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.10526315789473,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -2.84218399401646,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.1052631578947327,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.8,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.2263157894736807,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.06315789473684208,
"combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.19999999999999574,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15789473684210525,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.436684041574473,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.144990253734148,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.47826086956522,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07894736842105265,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09999999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.3312629399585944,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}