Wilson Leite vs Lucio Ratti
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Feb 2026, 23:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucio Ratti
Wilson …: 43,3% Lucio …: 56,7%
¿Por qué Lucio Ratti?
UTR 13,18 vs 13,56 (-0,38) — Niveles similares
Wilson …
W24-L33
42% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L1
Lucio …
W56-L29
66% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Wilson … Lucio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,31 1,76 43,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Wilson …: +7,8% Lucio …: -7,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Wilson Leite
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #956
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Clay 8/19 = 42,1%
Lucio Ratti
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #661
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Clay 4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Wilson Leite
Record 2025 24W - 33L (42%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,2
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Lucio Ratti
Record 2025 56W - 29L (66%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Wilson Leite ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,2 vs 12,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,1053
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,3313
surface_matches_ratio 1,9000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,1053
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,4783
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1579
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,5333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,2263
first_serve_won_diff 0,2000
second_serve_won_diff 10,0000
bp_saved_diff 6,9000
bp_converted_diff -14,8000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0632
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 18,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,4367
serve_consistency_p2 11,1450
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0789
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3800
utr_p1 0,6094
utr_p2 0,6541
utr_advantage -2,8422
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25125
API ID 15460637
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25125,
    "api_id": 15460637,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Wilson Leite",
    "player2": "Lucio Ratti",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T19:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.11,
      "p2": 1.32
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4329,
    "prob_p2": 0.5671,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5671,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.18,
      "utr_ranking": 956,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.10526315789473,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.24,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.06,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel Antonio Nunez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.55,
          "opponent_name": "Justin Roberts"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Valentin Basel"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Enzo Prediger"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.46,
          "opponent_name": "Laelson Rodrigues"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:02.133708+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 42.10526315789473,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.56,
      "utr_ranking": 661,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 56,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.88235294117646,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.77,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Manuel La Serna"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.39,
          "opponent_name": "Hady Habib"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "bautista de la Pena"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.83,
          "opponent_name": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.27,
          "opponent_name": "Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:27.088757+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.18,
      "ranking": 956,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.56,
      "ranking": 661,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.6541176470588236,
    "utr_diff": -0.3800000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.899999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.10526315789473,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.84218399401646,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.1052631578947327,
    "bp_converted_diff": -14.8,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.2263157894736807,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.06315789473684208,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.19999999999999574,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15789473684210525,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.436684041574473,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.144990253734148,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.47826086956522,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 10.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.9,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07894736842105265,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09999999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.3312629399585944,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}