Guido Ivan Justo vs Tomas Farjat
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
02 Feb 2026, 01:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Guido Ivan Justo
Guido …: 78,8% Tomas …: 21,2%
¿Por qué Guido Ivan Justo?
UTR 13,96 vs 12,92 (+1,04) — Ligera ventaja
Guido …
Sin datos
Tomas …
W32-L25
56% WR
vs UTR 12,7
W8
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Guido … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,10 6,50 90,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,27 4,72 78,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Guido …: -6,7% Tomas …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Guido Ivan Justo
Ranking #336
UTR Rating 13,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #402
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 16/31 = 51,6%
Tomas Farjat
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #1185
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Clay 2/6 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Guido Ivan Justo
Sin datos UTR v4
Tomas Farjat
Record 2025 32W - 25L (56%)
Racha 8W
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 122,0000
rank_ratio 1,3228
log_rank_ratio 0,2797
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 128,0000
best_rank_diff 156,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,2796
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,7257
surface_matches_ratio 5,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,6129
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,3333
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,3763
first_serve_won_diff -11,7000
second_serve_won_diff 19,5000
bp_saved_diff -9,8000
bp_converted_diff 24,3000
aces_per_match_diff -1,6882
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,4500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 21,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,4630
serve_consistency_p2 6,6584
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,1130
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1059
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0447
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0400
utr_p1 0,7012
utr_p2 0,5788
utr_advantage 7,7381
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25127
API ID 15460640
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25127,
    "api_id": 15460640,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Guido Ivan Justo",
    "player2": "Tomas Farjat",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T21:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 6.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 6.68
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.788,
    "prob_p2": 0.212,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.788,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 336,
      "utr_singles": 13.96,
      "utr_ranking": 402,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.92,
      "utr_ranking": 1185,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.14035087719298,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 8,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.68,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.35,
          "opponent_name": "Ramiro Amarilla"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.48,
          "opponent_name": "Valentino Grippo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "valentino conte"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Santiago Lora"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:50.741064+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.96,
      "ranking": 402,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.92,
      "ranking": 1185,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7011764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.5788235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 1.040000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3227513227513228,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 128,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 28.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 7.738095238095244,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 156,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2797139028026041,
    "rank_advantage": 122,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.27956989247312,
    "bp_converted_diff": 24.299999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.376344086021504,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.6881720430107527,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -11.700000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.463041724101002,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.658395368072789,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.113049836176635,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 19.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.166666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 21.450000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1058709677419355,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04466666666666674,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.725714285714284,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}