Dante Pagani vs Santiago De la Fuente
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
02 Feb 2026, 03:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Santiago De la Fuente
Dante …: 15,5% Santiago …: 84,5%
¿Por qué Santiago De la Fuente?
UTR 12,91 vs 13,37 (-0,46) — Niveles similares
Dante …
W29-L20
59% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W5
Santiago …
W43-L28
61% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dante … Santiago … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
IA Fair Odds 6,45 1,18 15,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Dante …: -22,0% Santiago …: +22,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dante Pagani
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,91 Junior
UTR Ranking #32
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Clay 0/2 = 0,0%
Santiago De la Fuente
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #794
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 43% (7p)
WR Clay 7/18 = 38,9%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dante Pagani
Record 2025 29W - 20L (59%)
Racha 5W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Santiago De la Fuente
Record 2025 43W - 28L (61%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Dante Pagani en racha: 5 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -38,8889
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,8657
surface_matches_ratio 0,1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 38,8889
surface_wr_p1_stable 6,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,9091
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,4633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,9722
first_serve_won_diff -3,8000
second_serve_won_diff 0,5000
bp_saved_diff 4,3000
bp_converted_diff 16,7000
aces_per_match_diff 0,3889
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -37,5000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 56,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,1576
serve_consistency_p2 13,1096
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1111
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4600
utr_p1 0,5776
utr_p2 0,6318
utr_advantage -3,5008
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25129
API ID 15460639
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25129,
    "api_id": 15460639,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Dante Pagani",
    "player2": "Santiago De la Fuente",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-01T23:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.67
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1551,
    "prob_p2": 0.8449,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8449,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.91,
      "utr_ranking": 32,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 59.183673469387756,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.5,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Jordi Leston"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Fantino Alberca de las Casas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.04,
          "opponent_name": "Ignacio Monzon"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.08,
          "opponent_name": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Bautista Vilicich"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.429852+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.37,
      "utr_ranking": 794,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.56338028169014,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.91,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Alejandro Hidalgo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luciano Doria"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.21,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Tischner"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.18,
          "opponent_name": "Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.12,
          "opponent_name": "Valentin Guadagno"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:28.548026+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.91,
      "ranking": 32,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.37,
      "ranking": 794,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5776470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.6317647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.4599999999999991,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 38.88888888888889,
    "utr_advantage": -3.5007610350076033,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -38.88888888888889,
    "bp_converted_diff": 16.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.9722222222222214,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.38888888888888884,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.79999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.157635467980292,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.10957762080078,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -37.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 56,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11111111111111105,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.865656565656568,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}