Dante Pagani vs Santiago De la Fuente
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
02 Feb 2026, 03:15
02 Feb 2026, 03:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Santiago De la Fuente
Dante …: 15,5%
Santiago …: 84,5%
¿Por qué Santiago De la Fuente?
UTR 12,91 vs 13,37
(-0,46)
— Niveles similares
Dante …
W29-L20
59% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W5
Santiago …
W43-L28
61% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Dante … | Santiago … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,45 | 1,18 | 15,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Dante …: -22,0%
Santiago …: +22,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dante Pagani
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,91 Junior
UTR Ranking
#32
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Clay
0/2 = 0,0%
Santiago De la Fuente
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#794
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Clay
7/18 = 38,9%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dante Pagani
Record 2025
29W - 20L (59%)
Racha
5W
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Santiago De la Fuente
Record 2025
43W - 28L (61%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Dante Pagani en racha: 5 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -38,8889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,8657 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 6,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,9722 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 16,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -37,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 19,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 56,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1576 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,1096 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1111 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6318 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5008 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25129
API ID
15460639
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25129,
"api_id": 15460639,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Dante Pagani",
"player2": "Santiago De la Fuente",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-01T23:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.67
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1551,
"prob_p2": 0.8449,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8449,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.91,
"utr_ranking": 32,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 59.183673469387756,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.5,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Jordi Leston"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Fantino Alberca de las Casas"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.04,
"opponent_name": "Ignacio Monzon"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.08,
"opponent_name": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Bautista Vilicich"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.429852+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.37,
"utr_ranking": 794,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.56338028169014,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.91,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Gabriel Alejandro Hidalgo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Luciano Doria"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.21,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Tischner"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.18,
"opponent_name": "Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.12,
"opponent_name": "Valentin Guadagno"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:28.548026+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.91,
"ranking": 32,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.37,
"ranking": 794,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.6317647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.4599999999999991,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 38.88888888888889,
"utr_advantage": -3.5007610350076033,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -38.88888888888889,
"bp_converted_diff": 16.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.9722222222222214,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.38888888888888884,
"combined_confidence": 0.4633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.79999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.157635467980292,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.10957762080078,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1111111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -37.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 56,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11111111111111105,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.865656565656568,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}