Hernan Casanova vs Lautaro Agustin Falabella
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
02 Feb 2026, 04:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hernan Casanova
Hernan …: 85,3% Lautaro …: 14,7%
¿Por qué Hernan Casanova?
UTR 14,15 vs 13,15 (+1,00) — Ligera ventaja
Hernan …
Sin datos
Lautaro …
W53-L33
62% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L2
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hernan … Lautaro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 4,50 85,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,17 6,81 85,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Hernan …: +5,9% Lautaro …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hernan Casanova
Ranking #413
UTR Rating 14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #322
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Clay 16/28 = 57,1%
Lautaro Agustin Falabella
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #988
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Clay 2/7 = 28,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Hernan Casanova
Sin datos UTR v4
Lautaro Agustin Falabella
Record 2025 53W - 33L (62%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,8
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 129,0000
rank_ratio 1,3477
log_rank_ratio 0,2984
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 130,0000
best_rank_diff 279,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 28,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,7419
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 28,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,2500
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,0260
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,9871
first_serve_won_diff -3,2000
second_serve_won_diff -0,1000
bp_saved_diff -1,5000
bp_converted_diff 0,5000
aces_per_match_diff -2,6786
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 39,8200
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 130,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 57,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,4301
serve_consistency_p2 6,7106
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,5259
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0576
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0853
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,0000
utr_p1 0,7235
utr_p2 0,6059
utr_advantage 7,3260
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25131
API ID 15460633
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25131,
    "api_id": 15460633,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Hernan Casanova",
    "player2": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-02-02T00:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 4.86
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8531,
    "prob_p2": 0.1469,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8531,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 413,
      "utr_singles": 14.15,
      "utr_ranking": 322,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.15,
      "utr_ranking": 988,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 53,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.627906976744185,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.78,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.07,
          "opponent_name": "Luciano Carraro"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Manuel Mouilleron Salvo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alvaro Ariel Frutos Alonso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.35,
          "opponent_name": "Ramiro Amarilla"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.51,
          "opponent_name": "Alex Santino Nunez Vera"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:16.441195+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.15,
      "ranking": 322,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.15,
      "ranking": 988,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.723529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.6058823529411765,
    "utr_diff": 1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3477088948787062,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 130,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": 7.326007326007327,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 279,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.29840603581475655,
    "rank_advantage": 129,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 28.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.9871428571428496,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.6785714285714284,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.430069764482073,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.710566949663984,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.525886737564472,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.02597402597403,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 39.82000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 130,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 57,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05757142857142861,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0852857142857143,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.741937229437227,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}