Hernan Casanova vs Lautaro Agustin Falabella
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Round 1
02 Feb 2026, 04:10
02 Feb 2026, 04:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hernan Casanova
Hernan …: 85,3%
Lautaro …: 14,7%
¿Por qué Hernan Casanova?
UTR 14,15 vs 13,15
(+1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Hernan …
Sin datos
Lautaro …
W53-L33
62% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L2
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hernan … | Lautaro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 4,50 | 85,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,17 | 6,81 | 85,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hernan …: +5,9%
Lautaro …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hernan Casanova
Ranking
#413
UTR Rating
14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#322
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Clay
16/28 = 57,1%
Lautaro Agustin Falabella
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#988
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Clay
2/7 = 28,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Hernan Casanova
Sin datos UTR v4
Lautaro Agustin Falabella
Record 2025
53W - 33L (62%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
12,8
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 129,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3477 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2984 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 130,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 279,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,7419 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 34,0260 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,9871 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,6786 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 39,8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 130,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 57,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4301 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7106 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,5259 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0576 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0853 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6059 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,3260 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25131
API ID
15460633
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25131,
"api_id": 15460633,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hernan Casanova",
"player2": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-02-02T00:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.15,
"p2": 4.86
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8531,
"prob_p2": 0.1469,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8531,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 413,
"utr_singles": 14.15,
"utr_ranking": 322,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.15,
"utr_ranking": 988,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 53,
"utr_v4_losses": 33,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.627906976744185,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.78,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.07,
"opponent_name": "Luciano Carraro"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Manuel Mouilleron Salvo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Alvaro Ariel Frutos Alonso"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.35,
"opponent_name": "Ramiro Amarilla"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.51,
"opponent_name": "Alex Santino Nunez Vera"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:16.441195+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.15,
"ranking": 322,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.15,
"ranking": 988,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6058823529411765,
"utr_diff": 1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.3477088948787062,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 130,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": 7.326007326007327,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 279,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.29840603581475655,
"rank_advantage": 129,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 28.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.9871428571428496,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.6785714285714284,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.430069764482073,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.710566949663984,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.525886737564472,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.02597402597403,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 39.82000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 130,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 57,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05757142857142861,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0852857142857143,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.741937229437227,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}