Alex Barrena vs Juan Bautista Torres
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 02:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alex Barrena
Alex …: 76,1% Juan …: 23,9%
¿Por qué Alex Barrena?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alex … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,18 76,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alex …: +17,2% Juan …: -17,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Barrena
Ranking #180
UTR Rating 14,28 Pro
UTR Ranking #248
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 30/45 = 66,7%
Juan Bautista Torres
Ranking #353
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 23/47 = 48,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 174,0000
rank_ratio 1,9158
log_rank_ratio 0,6501
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 179,0000
best_rank_diff 56,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,7305
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,2865
surface_matches_ratio 0,9574
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 48,9362
surface_wr_p1_stable 65,3061
surface_wr_p2_stable 49,0196
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,3647
first_serve_won_diff 3,9000
second_serve_won_diff 8,0000
bp_saved_diff 3,8000
bp_converted_diff -0,6000
aces_per_match_diff 1,5073
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,2250
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 21,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 21,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2727
serve_consistency_p1 10,7631
serve_consistency_p2 10,1546
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,5271
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0073
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1634
elite_surface_amplifier 17,7305
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7388
utr_p2 0,7388
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25138
API ID 15460703
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25138,
    "api_id": 15460703,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alex Barrena",
    "player2": "Juan Bautista Torres",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-02T22:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7609,
    "prob_p2": 0.2391,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7609,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 180,
      "utr_singles": 14.28,
      "utr_ranking": 248,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 353,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.93617021276596,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.28,
      "ranking": 248,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9157894736842105,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 179,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.79999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -6.0000000000000036,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.93617021276596,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 56,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6501297954762545,
    "rank_advantage": 174,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2727272727272727,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.7304964539007,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.6000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.364657210401887,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.5073286052009456,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.76308625091116,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.154608798690843,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.527124033266917,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.3061224489796,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.01960784313725,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9574468085106383,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.2250000000000014,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 17.7304964539007,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.007333333333333414,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1633617021276595,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.286514605842342,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}