Alex Barrena vs Juan Bautista Torres
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 02:20
03 Feb 2026, 02:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alex Barrena
Alex …: 76,1%
Juan …: 23,9%
¿Por qué Alex Barrena?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,31 | 4,18 | 76,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alex …: +17,2%
Juan …: -17,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Barrena
Ranking
#180
UTR Rating
14,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#248
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
30/45 = 66,7%
Juan Bautista Torres
Ranking
#353
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
23/47 = 48,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 174,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9158 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6501 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 179,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 56,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,7305 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,2865 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9574 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,9362 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,3061 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49,0196 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,3647 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,5073 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,2250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 21,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2727 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,7631 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1546 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,5271 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0073 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1634 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 17,7305 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7388 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25138
API ID
15460703
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25138,
"api_id": 15460703,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Barrena",
"player2": "Juan Bautista Torres",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-02T22:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7609,
"prob_p2": 0.2391,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7609,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 180,
"utr_singles": 14.28,
"utr_ranking": 248,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 353,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.93617021276596,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.28,
"ranking": 248,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7388235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.9157894736842105,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 179,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.79999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -6.0000000000000036,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.93617021276596,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 56,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6501297954762545,
"rank_advantage": 174,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2727272727272727,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.7304964539007,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.6000000000000014,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.364657210401887,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.5073286052009456,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.8999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.76308625091116,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.154608798690843,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.527124033266917,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.3061224489796,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.01960784313725,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9574468085106383,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.2250000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 17.7304964539007,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.007333333333333414,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1633617021276595,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.286514605842342,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}