Facundo Mena vs Thiago Monteiro
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 03:00
03 Feb 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Thiago Monteiro
Facundo …: 33,1%
Thiago …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Thiago Monteiro?
UTR 14,24 vs 14,22
(+0,02)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Facundo … | Thiago … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,02 | 1,49 | 33,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Facundo …: -4,4%
Thiago …: +4,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Facundo Mena
Ranking
#354
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#263
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
16/35 = 45,7%
Thiago Monteiro
Ranking
#210
UTR Rating
14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#284
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
21/43 = 48,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -132,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5976 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5149 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -147,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -66,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,1229 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,7823 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8140 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,8372 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,9362 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,8054 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2173 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,4990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 82,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 137,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4795 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7368 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2282 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3834 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,6080 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0891 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1436 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7318 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,1405 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25139
API ID
15460711
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25139,
"api_id": 15460711,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Facundo Mena",
"player2": "Thiago Monteiro",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-02T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.54,
"p2": 1.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3306,
"prob_p2": 0.6694,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6694,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 354,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 263,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 210,
"utr_singles": 14.22,
"utr_ranking": 284,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.837209302325576,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 263,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 284,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.731764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 0.5975609756097561,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -147,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.899999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 25.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.714285714285715,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.837209302325576,
"utr_advantage": 0.14054813773717198,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -66,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5148989491536266,
"rank_advantage": -132,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7368421052631579,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.1229235880398605,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.5999999999999943,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.8054485049833957,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4794520547945205,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2172757475083058,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.700000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.08571428571428572,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.228226730865918,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.383350994604916,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.607990073768797,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.15384615384615,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.93617021276596,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.813953488372093,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.498999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 82,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 137,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08914285714285713,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14362790697674427,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.782324058919805,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}