Facundo Mena vs Thiago Monteiro
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Thiago Monteiro
Facundo …: 33,1% Thiago …: 66,9%
¿Por qué Thiago Monteiro?
UTR 14,24 vs 14,22 (+0,02) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Facundo … Thiago … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,02 1,49 33,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Facundo …: -4,4% Thiago …: +4,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Facundo Mena
Ranking #354
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #263
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 16/35 = 45,7%
Thiago Monteiro
Ranking #210
UTR Rating 14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking #284
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 21/43 = 48,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -132,0000
rank_ratio 0,5976
log_rank_ratio -0,5149
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -147,0000
best_rank_diff -66,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,1229
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,7823
surface_matches_ratio 0,8140
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,7143
surface_wr_p2 48,8372
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,1538
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,9362
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 43,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,8054
first_serve_won_diff -3,7000
second_serve_won_diff -1,3000
bp_saved_diff 6,9000
bp_converted_diff 2,6000
aces_per_match_diff 0,2173
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,4990
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 82,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 137,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4795
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7368
serve_consistency_p1 9,2282
serve_consistency_p2 12,3834
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,6080
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0891
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1436
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0200
utr_p1 0,7341
utr_p2 0,7318
utr_advantage 0,1405
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25139
API ID 15460711
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25139,
    "api_id": 15460711,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Facundo Mena",
    "player2": "Thiago Monteiro",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-02T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.54,
      "p2": 1.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3306,
    "prob_p2": 0.6694,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6694,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 354,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 263,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 210,
      "utr_singles": 14.22,
      "utr_ranking": 284,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.837209302325576,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 263,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.22,
      "ranking": 284,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.731764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5975609756097561,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -147,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.899999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.837209302325576,
    "utr_advantage": 0.14054813773717198,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -66,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5148989491536266,
    "rank_advantage": -132,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7368421052631579,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.1229235880398605,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.5999999999999943,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 43,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.8054485049833957,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4794520547945205,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.2172757475083058,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.700000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.08571428571428572,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.228226730865918,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.383350994604916,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.607990073768797,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.15384615384615,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.93617021276596,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.3000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.813953488372093,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.498999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 82,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 137,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08914285714285713,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14362790697674427,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.782324058919805,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}