Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Gonzalo Villanueva
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 01:20
04 Feb 2026, 01:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan …: 81,7%
Gonzalo …: 18,3%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
UTR 14,64 vs 13,93
(+0,71)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Gonzalo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,18 | 4,50 | 84,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,22 | 5,47 | 81,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: +2,5%
Gonzalo …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#142
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Clay
31/46 = 67,4%
Gonzalo Villanueva
Ranking
#355
UTR Rating
13,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#410
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
23/46 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 262,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,0115 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3892 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 556,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 197,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,3913 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67,3913 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3478 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,4635 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5217 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,7350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0652 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4167 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0465 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7958 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24,1594 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0881 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2620 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 34,7826 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6976 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,9702 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25142
API ID
15460707
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25142,
"api_id": 15460707,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
"player2": "Gonzalo Villanueva",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T21:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8171,
"prob_p2": 0.1829,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8171,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 142,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 67.3913043478261,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 355,
"utr_singles": 13.93,
"utr_ranking": 410,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.64,
"ranking": 142,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.93,
"ranking": 410,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.6976470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.7100000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 4.011494252873563,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 20.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 556,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.3913043478261,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.970248512425627,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 197,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3891638035478433,
"rank_advantage": 262,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.391304347826093,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.463478260869564,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.065217391304348,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5217391304347823,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9000000000000057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.34782608695652173,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.0464695816976946,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.795773554281553,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.15937049648424,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.899999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.735,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 34.782608695652186,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 20,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08808695652173903,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.262,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}