Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Gonzalo Villanueva
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 01:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan …: 81,7% Gonzalo …: 18,3%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
UTR 14,64 vs 13,93 (+0,71) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Gonzalo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,18 4,50 84,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,22 5,47 81,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: +2,5% Gonzalo …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #142
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Clay 31/46 = 67,4%
Gonzalo Villanueva
Ranking #355
UTR Rating 13,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #410
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 23/46 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 262,0000
rank_ratio 4,0115
log_rank_ratio 1,3892
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 556,0000
best_rank_diff 197,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,3913
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,0000
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 67,3913
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3478
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,4635
first_serve_won_diff 3,9000
second_serve_won_diff 4,9000
bp_saved_diff 5,3000
bp_converted_diff 1,9000
aces_per_match_diff 2,5217
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,7350
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 20,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0652
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4167
serve_consistency_p1 5,0465
serve_consistency_p2 9,7958
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 24,1594
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0881
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2620
elite_surface_amplifier 34,7826
UTR
utr_diff 0,7100
utr_p1 0,7812
utr_p2 0,6976
utr_advantage 4,9702
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25142
API ID 15460707
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25142,
    "api_id": 15460707,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
    "player2": "Gonzalo Villanueva",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T21:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8171,
    "prob_p2": 0.1829,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8171,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 142,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.3913043478261,
      "wr_surface_wins": 31,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 355,
      "utr_singles": 13.93,
      "utr_ranking": 410,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 142,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.93,
      "ranking": 410,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.6976470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.7100000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 4.011494252873563,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 556,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 67.3913043478261,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.970248512425627,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 197,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.3891638035478433,
    "rank_advantage": 262,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.391304347826093,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.463478260869564,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.065217391304348,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.5217391304347823,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9000000000000057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.34782608695652173,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.0464695816976946,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.795773554281553,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 24.15937049648424,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.735,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 34.782608695652186,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 20,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08808695652173903,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.262,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}