Nicolas Kicker vs Francisco Comesaña
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francisco Comesaña
Nicolas …: 43,6% Francisco …: 56,4%
¿Por qué Francisco Comesaña?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nicolas … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,40 1,30 29,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,30 1,77 43,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Nicolas …: +15,9% Francisco …: -15,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolas Kicker
Ranking #269
UTR Rating 14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #339
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 30/48 = 62,5%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking #64
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 16/28 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -190,0000
rank_ratio 0,2636
log_rank_ratio -1,3335
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -619,0000
best_rank_diff -24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,3571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,1122
surface_matches_ratio 1,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,5385
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 48,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,9686
first_serve_won_diff -9,2000
second_serve_won_diff 2,7000
bp_saved_diff -11,3000
bp_converted_diff 14,6000
aces_per_match_diff -5,5893
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,2900
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 20,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 12,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 13,0983
serve_consistency_p2 6,8192
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,1435
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3150
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1186
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7176
utr_p2 0,7176
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25143
API ID 15460708
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25143,
    "api_id": 15460708,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Nicolas Kicker",
    "player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-04T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.44,
      "p2": 1.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4357,
    "prob_p2": 0.5643,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5643,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 269,
      "utr_singles": 14.1,
      "utr_ranking": 339,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 64,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.1,
      "ranking": 339,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.26356589147286824,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -619,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.300000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3334518797455106,
    "rank_advantage": -190,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.357142857142861,
    "bp_converted_diff": 14.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 48,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.968571428571437,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.589285714285714,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.20000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.098341007061736,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.81921888166757,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.143492212922384,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.6999999999999886,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7142857142857142,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.29,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.31499999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11857142857142855,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.112179487179489,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}