Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Andrea Collarini
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Nikolas …: 35,3% Andrea …: 64,7%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
UTR 14,13 vs 14,29 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikolas … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,83 1,55 35,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikolas …: -5,8% Andrea …: +5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Ranking #279
UTR Rating 14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #320
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 16/32 = 50,0%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking #229
UTR Rating 14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #240
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 32/56 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -73,0000
rank_ratio 0,7614
log_rank_ratio -0,2725
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -71,0000
best_rank_diff -61,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,6667
surface_matches_ratio 0,5714
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,6667
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 56,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,9114
first_serve_won_diff -2,6000
second_serve_won_diff -1,8000
bp_saved_diff -1,4000
bp_converted_diff 3,3000
aces_per_match_diff -0,5357
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 16,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5263
serve_consistency_p1 14,9276
serve_consistency_p2 10,1505
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,9468
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0730
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0016
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,7212
utr_p2 0,7400
utr_advantage -1,1260
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25144
API ID 15460702
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25144,
    "api_id": 15460702,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo",
    "player2": "Andrea Collarini",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-02T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.79,
      "p2": 1.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3533,
    "prob_p2": 0.6467,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6467,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 279,
      "utr_singles": 14.13,
      "utr_ranking": 320,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 229,
      "utr_singles": 14.29,
      "utr_ranking": 240,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.13,
      "ranking": 320,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.29,
      "ranking": 240,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7211764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
    "utr_diff": -0.15999999999999837,
    "rank_ratio": 0.761437908496732,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -71,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -1.125967628430671,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -61,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.27254664838668025,
    "rank_advantage": -73,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.142857142857139,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.3000000000000043,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 56,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.911428571428573,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5357142857142858,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.927556930819762,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.150487853994287,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.946761774190572,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.8000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5714285714285714,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07299999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.001571428571428557,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.666666666666664,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}