Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Andrea Collarini
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 02:00
03 Feb 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Nikolas …: 35,3%
Andrea …: 64,7%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
UTR 14,13 vs 14,29
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nikolas … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,83 | 1,55 | 35,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nikolas …: -5,8%
Andrea …: +5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Ranking
#279
UTR Rating
14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#320
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
16/32 = 50,0%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking
#229
UTR Rating
14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#240
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
32/56 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -73,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7614 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2725 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -71,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,6667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,9114 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5357 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,9276 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1505 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,9468 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0016 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7400 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1260 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25144
API ID
15460702
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25144,
"api_id": 15460702,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo",
"player2": "Andrea Collarini",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-02T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.79,
"p2": 1.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3533,
"prob_p2": 0.6467,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6467,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 279,
"utr_singles": 14.13,
"utr_ranking": 320,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 229,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 240,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.13,
"ranking": 320,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 240,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7211764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
"utr_diff": -0.15999999999999837,
"rank_ratio": 0.761437908496732,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": -71,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -1.125967628430671,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -61,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.27254664838668025,
"rank_advantage": -73,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.142857142857139,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.3000000000000043,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.911428571428573,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5357142857142858,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.927556930819762,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.150487853994287,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.946761774190572,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.8000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5714285714285714,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07299999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.001571428571428557,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.666666666666664,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}