Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Marco Cecchinato
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 23:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Cecchinato
Pedro …: 36,8% Marco …: 63,2%
¿Por qué Marco Cecchinato?
UTR 14,01 vs 14,34 (-0,33) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pedro … Marco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,25 1,57 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,72 1,58 36,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Pedro …: -4,3% Marco …: +4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Ranking #268
UTR Rating 14,01 Pro
UTR Ranking #383
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 26/46 = 56,5%
Marco Cecchinato
Ranking #216
UTR Rating 14,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #255
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Clay 35/62 = 56,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,8582
log_rank_ratio -0,1529
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -46,0000
best_rank_diff -252,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0701
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,0606
surface_matches_ratio 0,7419
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,5217
surface_wr_p2 56,4516
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0606
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 62,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,2055
first_serve_won_diff -3,4000
second_serve_won_diff -5,5000
bp_saved_diff -3,0000
bp_converted_diff 5,1000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0722
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 19,0350
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 20,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4545
serve_consistency_p1 12,6961
serve_consistency_p2 11,3442
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0107
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1032
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0265
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3300
utr_p1 0,7071
utr_p2 0,7459
utr_advantage -2,3280
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25145
API ID 15460706
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25145,
    "api_id": 15460706,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Pedro Boscardin Dias",
    "player2": "Marco Cecchinato",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T19:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.77,
      "p2": 1.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3675,
    "prob_p2": 0.6325,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6325,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 268,
      "utr_singles": 14.01,
      "utr_ranking": 383,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 216,
      "utr_singles": 14.34,
      "utr_ranking": 255,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.451612903225815,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 62,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.01,
      "ranking": 383,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.34,
      "ranking": 255,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7070588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8582089552238806,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -46,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.451612903225815,
    "utr_advantage": -2.3280423280423284,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -252,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.15290767158766128,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.07012622720896644,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 62,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.205539971949513,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.07223001402524565,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.4000000000000057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.696121577234031,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.344229187595491,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.010722838119750357,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.060606060606055,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7419354838709677,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 19.035000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 20,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10321739130434782,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.026516129032258084,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.06060606060604812,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}