Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Lautaro Midon
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 04:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman …: 71,3% Lautaro …: 28,7%
¿Por qué Roman Andres Burruchaga?
UTR 14,75 vs 14,10 (+0,65) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roman … Lautaro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,50 78,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,48 71,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Roman …: -1,9% Lautaro …: +1,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Ranking #118
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #126
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 41/62 = 66,1%
Lautaro Midon
Ranking #231
UTR Rating 14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #334
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 44% (9p)
WR Clay 24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 128,0000
rank_ratio 2,2308
log_rank_ratio 0,8023
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 357,0000
best_rank_diff 128,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,1290
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,0606
surface_matches_ratio 1,5500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,1290
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 65,1515
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 62,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3226
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,0748
first_serve_won_diff 1,1000
second_serve_won_diff 7,4000
bp_saved_diff -3,4000
bp_converted_diff 4,7000
aces_per_match_diff 0,1524
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,2100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 18,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6875
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,5121
serve_consistency_p2 10,1109
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,9176
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0333
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2280
elite_surface_amplifier 6,1290
UTR
utr_diff 0,6500
utr_p1 0,7941
utr_p2 0,7176
utr_advantage 4,5061
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25146
API ID 15460709
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25146,
    "api_id": 15460709,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Roman Andres Burruchaga",
    "player2": "Lautaro Midon",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T00:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.713,
    "prob_p2": 0.287,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.713,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 118,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 126,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.12903225806451,
      "wr_surface_wins": 41,
      "wr_surface_total": 62,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 231,
      "utr_singles": 14.1,
      "utr_ranking": 334,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 126,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.1,
      "ranking": 334,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.7176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.6500000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 2.230769230769231,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 357,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.12903225806451,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.506065857885617,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 128,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8023464725249373,
    "rank_advantage": 128,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.1290322580645125,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.699999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 62,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.0748387096774152,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.1524193548387096,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0999999999999943,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.512051759486084,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.110862163800865,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.9176074122496125,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.15151515151516,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.399999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.55,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.210000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 6.1290322580645125,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.033290322580645126,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22799999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.060606060606062,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}