Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mariano Navone
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mariano Navone
Thiago …: 17,9%
Mariano …: 82,1%
¿Por qué Mariano Navone?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Thiago … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,67 | 47,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,58 | 1,22 | 17,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Thiago …: -26,4%
Mariano …: +26,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Ranking
#198
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Clay
14/31 = 45,2%
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
14,83 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Clay
28/42 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -143,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3410 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0758 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -497,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,5054 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,5031 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7381 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,1613 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,2174 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0968 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,5270 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2135 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18,8490 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 19,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7248 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3636 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,1995 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7592 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 23,1362 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0946 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0237 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8035 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25147
API ID
15460705
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25147,
"api_id": 15460705,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Thiago Seyboth Wild",
"player2": "Mariano Navone",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.67
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.81,
"p2": 1.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1793,
"prob_p2": 0.8207,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8207,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 198,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.16129032258064,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 75,
"utr_singles": 14.83,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.83,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8035294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.34101382488479265,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -497,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.200000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 28.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.16129032258064,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0758322603362898,
"rank_advantage": -143,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.505376344086017,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.527035330261135,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7247706422018348,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.213517665130568,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.3999999999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0967741935483871,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.199484364478439,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.7591601140400766,
"surface_rank_synergy": 23.136177641640636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.714285714285715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.21739130434783,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7380952380952381,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.849000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0946129032258064,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.023666666666666503,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.503105590062113,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}