Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Mariano Navone
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mariano Navone
Thiago …: 17,9% Mariano …: 82,1%
¿Por qué Mariano Navone?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Thiago … Mariano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
IA Fair Odds 5,58 1,22 17,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Thiago …: -26,4% Mariano …: +26,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Ranking #198
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Clay 14/31 = 45,2%
Mariano Navone
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 14,83 Pro
UTR Ranking #108
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Clay 28/42 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -143,0000
rank_ratio 0,3410
log_rank_ratio -1,0758
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -497,0000
best_rank_diff -29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,5054
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,5031
surface_matches_ratio 0,7381
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,1613
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 65,2174
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0968
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,5270
first_serve_won_diff 5,4000
second_serve_won_diff -2,0000
bp_saved_diff -4,2000
bp_converted_diff -11,5000
aces_per_match_diff 3,2135
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 18,8490
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7248
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3636
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 5,1995
serve_consistency_p2 4,7592
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 23,1362
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0946
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0237
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8035
utr_p2 0,8035
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25147
API ID 15460705
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25147,
    "api_id": 15460705,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Thiago Seyboth Wild",
    "player2": "Mariano Navone",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.81,
      "p2": 1.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1793,
    "prob_p2": 0.8207,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8207,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 198,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.16129032258064,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 14.83,
      "utr_ranking": 108,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.83,
      "ranking": 108,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8035294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.34101382488479265,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -497,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.200000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0758322603362898,
    "rank_advantage": -143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.36363636363636365,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.505376344086017,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.527035330261135,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7247706422018348,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.213517665130568,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.3999999999999915,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0967741935483871,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.199484364478439,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.7591601140400766,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 23.136177641640636,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.21739130434783,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7380952380952381,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 18.849000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0946129032258064,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.023666666666666503,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.503105590062113,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}