Ugo Blanchet vs Titouan Droguet
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 15:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Blanchet
Ugo …: 56,0% Titouan …: 44,0%
¿Por qué Ugo Blanchet?
UTR 14,54 vs 14,53 (+0,01) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Titouan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
Gamdom 2,25 1,57 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,79 2,27 56,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Ugo …: +11,7% Titouan …: -11,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking #174
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #161
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Titouan Droguet
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #174
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 13,0000
rank_ratio 1,0915
log_rank_ratio 0,0876
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 31,0000
best_rank_diff -9,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,0920
surface_matches_ratio 1,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,6134
first_serve_won_diff -3,9838
second_serve_won_diff 1,4838
bp_saved_diff 1,9638
bp_converted_diff 3,5990
aces_per_match_diff -2,5333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,9310
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7943
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 8,0281
serve_consistency_p2 7,9432
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2920
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0870
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0797
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0100
utr_p1 0,7694
utr_p2 0,7682
utr_advantage 0,0688
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25278
API ID 15463216
Gamdom ID 651691
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25278,
    "api_id": 15463216,
    "gamdom_id": 651691,
    "player1": "Ugo Blanchet",
    "player2": "Titouan Droguet",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-02-02T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.6666666666666665
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.57
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.32,
      "p2": 1.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5597,
    "prob_p2": 0.4403,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5597,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 161,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 174,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 161,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 174,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7694117647058822,
    "utr_p2": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
    "rank_ratio": 1.091549295774648,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 31,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.9638095238095232,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0687994496044017,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -9,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.08759805931798598,
    "rank_advantage": 13,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8666666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.3333333333333357,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.5990476190476244,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.613428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7943262411347518,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.533333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.9838095238095264,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.028058501070728,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.943229951266441,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.29199353105995346,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4838095238095264,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.930999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08699999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07966666666666666,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.092006033182507,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}