Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenier
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 18:10
02 Feb 2026, 18:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Grenier
Andrea …: 47,4%
Hugo …: 52,6%
¿Por qué Hugo Grenier?
UTR 14,70 vs 14,52
(+0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrea … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,58 | 2,25 | 63,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,11 | 1,90 | 47,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Andrea …: -2,6%
Hugo …: +2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking
#282
UTR Rating
14,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#135
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/13 = 61,5%
Hugo Grenier
Ranking
#189
UTR Rating
14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#169
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
36/60 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -112,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6151 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4859 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -142,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,5385 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,4062 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2167 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,3750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,3378 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,0847 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7538 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2647 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,3645 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6346 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,5450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9414 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9754 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7476 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2274 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0120 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7671 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2320 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25300
API ID
15464045
Gamdom ID
652239
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25300,
"api_id": 15464045,
"gamdom_id": 652239,
"player1": "Andrea Vavassori",
"player2": "Hugo Grenier",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-02-02T14:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4742,
"prob_p2": 0.5258,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5258,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 282,
"utr_singles": 14.7,
"utr_ranking": 135,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 189,
"utr_singles": 14.52,
"utr_ranking": 169,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 135,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.52,
"ranking": 169,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7670588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 0.6151202749140894,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -142,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.264743589743581,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.2320328542094436,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -33,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.48593746133073745,
"rank_advantage": -112,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.53846153846154,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.364487179487178,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.337756410256418,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.634615384615385,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.0847435897435815,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.941407588191304,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.97539194893905,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7475960943549815,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7538461538461547,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.21666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.545000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2273846153846154,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01200000000000001,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.40624999999999695,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}