Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenier
Montpellier | Hard | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 18:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hugo Grenier
Andrea …: 47,4% Hugo …: 52,6%
¿Por qué Hugo Grenier?
UTR 14,70 vs 14,52 (+0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrea … Hugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,58 2,25 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,11 1,90 47,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Andrea …: -2,6% Hugo …: +2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking #282
UTR Rating 14,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #135
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/13 = 61,5%
Hugo Grenier
Ranking #189
UTR Rating 14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking #169
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 36/60 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -112,0000
rank_ratio 0,6151
log_rank_ratio -0,4859
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -142,0000
best_rank_diff -33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,5385
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,4062
surface_matches_ratio 0,2167
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,5385
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,8235
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,3750
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 60,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2308
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,3378
first_serve_won_diff -3,0847
second_serve_won_diff -1,7538
bp_saved_diff 5,2647
bp_converted_diff -10,3645
aces_per_match_diff -0,6346
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,5450
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4348
serve_consistency_p1 6,9414
serve_consistency_p2 4,9754
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7476
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2274
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0120
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,7882
utr_p2 0,7671
utr_advantage 1,2320
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25300
API ID 15464045
Gamdom ID 652239
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25300,
    "api_id": 15464045,
    "gamdom_id": 652239,
    "player1": "Andrea Vavassori",
    "player2": "Hugo Grenier",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-02-02T14:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4742,
    "prob_p2": 0.5258,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5258,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 282,
      "utr_singles": 14.7,
      "utr_ranking": 135,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 189,
      "utr_singles": 14.52,
      "utr_ranking": 169,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 36,
      "wr_surface_total": 60,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.7,
      "ranking": 135,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.52,
      "ranking": 169,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7882352941176469,
    "utr_p2": 0.7670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6151202749140894,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -142,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.264743589743581,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.2320328542094436,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -33,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.48593746133073745,
    "rank_advantage": -112,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.53846153846154,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.364487179487178,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 60,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.337756410256418,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.634615384615385,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.0847435897435815,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.941407588191304,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.97539194893905,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7475960943549815,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7538461538461547,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.21666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.545000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2273846153846154,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01200000000000001,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.40624999999999695,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}