Igor Marcondes vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Igor Marcondes
Igor …: 56,4% Valerio …: 43,6%
¿Por qué Igor Marcondes?
UTR 14,00 vs 13,67 (+0,33) — Niveles similares
Igor …
Sin datos
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Igor … Valerio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,77 2,29 56,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Igor …: -12,3% Valerio …: +12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Igor Marcondes
Ranking #357
UTR Rating 14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #378
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #575
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Clay 10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Igor Marcondes
Sin datos UTR v4
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025 30W - 19L (61%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 98,0000
rank_ratio 1,2438
log_rank_ratio 0,2182
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 118,0000
best_rank_diff 242,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -55,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,4545
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 77,7778
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,4500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -55,8178
first_serve_won_diff -63,0000
second_serve_won_diff -51,8000
bp_saved_diff -62,0000
bp_converted_diff -34,1000
aces_per_match_diff -4,3889
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 69,3878
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 1,3878
weighted_momentum_diff 1,4700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,9174
serve_consistency_p2 5,9356
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -12,1198
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5980
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1536
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3300
utr_p1 0,7059
utr_p2 0,6671
utr_advantage 2,3853
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25301
API ID 15464547
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25301,
    "api_id": 15464547,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Igor Marcondes",
    "player2": "Valerio Aboian",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-02-02T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5642,
    "prob_p2": 0.4358,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5642,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 357,
      "utr_singles": 14.0,
      "utr_ranking": 378,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.67,
      "utr_ranking": 575,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.77,
          "opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.16,
          "opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.94,
          "opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.0,
      "ranking": 378,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.67,
      "ranking": 575,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.33000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.243781094527363,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 69.38775510204083,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 118,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -62.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 1.3877551020408276,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": 2.3852547885796898,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 242,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2181560098031706,
    "rank_advantage": 98,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
    "bp_converted_diff": -34.1,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": -55.81777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.388888888888889,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -63.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.917359413134368,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.935627882583224,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -12.119778322398368,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 77.77777777777779,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -51.8,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4699999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.598,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15355555555555556,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.45454545454546,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}