Igor Marcondes vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 22:00
02 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Igor Marcondes
Igor …: 56,4%
Valerio …: 43,6%
¿Por qué Igor Marcondes?
UTR 14,00 vs 13,67
(+0,33)
— Niveles similares
Igor …
Sin datos
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Igor … | Valerio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,29 | 56,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Igor …: -12,3%
Valerio …: +12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Igor Marcondes
Ranking
#357
UTR Rating
14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#378
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#575
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Igor Marcondes
Sin datos UTR v4
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025
30W - 19L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 98,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2438 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2182 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 118,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 242,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,4545 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 77,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -55,8178 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -63,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -51,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -62,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -34,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,3889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 69,3878 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 1,3878 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9174 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9356 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -12,1198 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5980 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1536 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6671 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3853 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25301
API ID
15464547
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25301,
"api_id": 15464547,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Igor Marcondes",
"player2": "Valerio Aboian",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-02-02T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3636363636363638,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5642,
"prob_p2": 0.4358,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5642,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 357,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 378,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.67,
"utr_ranking": 575,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.43,
"opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.77,
"opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.16,
"opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 378,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.67,
"ranking": 575,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.33000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.243781094527363,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 69.38775510204083,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 118,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -62.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 1.3877551020408276,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": 2.3852547885796898,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 242,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2181560098031706,
"rank_advantage": 98,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
"bp_converted_diff": -34.1,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": -55.81777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.388888888888889,
"combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -63.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.917359413134368,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.935627882583224,
"surface_rank_synergy": -12.119778322398368,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 77.77777777777779,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": -51.8,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4699999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.598,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15355555555555556,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.45454545454546,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}