Juan Estevez vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Carlos Maria Zarate
Juan …: 25,3% Carlos …: 74,8%
¿Por qué Carlos Maria Zarate?
Juan …
Sin datos
Carlos …
W0-L0
0% WR
vs UTR 0,0
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,33 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,96 1,34 25,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: -53,1% Carlos …: +53,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Estevez
Ranking #449
UTR Rating 13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #390
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Clay 3/10 = 30,0%
Carlos Maria Zarate
Ranking #-
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Clay 11/18 = 61,1%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juan Estevez
Sin datos UTR v4
Carlos Maria Zarate
Record 2025 0W - 0L (0%)
Racha -
UTR Oponentes 0,0
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 45,0000
rank_ratio 1,0989
log_rank_ratio 0,0943
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 99,0000
best_rank_diff 45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -31,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,0779
surface_matches_ratio 0,5556
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 30,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,1111
surface_wr_p1_stable 35,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,5167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,1556
first_serve_won_diff -7,8000
second_serve_won_diff -11,0000
bp_saved_diff -0,1000
bp_converted_diff -5,0000
aces_per_match_diff -1,4778
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 3,6959
serve_consistency_p2 7,2639
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,9341
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2450
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1561
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7024
utr_p2 0,7024
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25302
API ID 15464046
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25302,
    "api_id": 15464046,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Estevez",
    "player2": "Carlos Maria Zarate",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-02-02T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 4.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2525,
    "prob_p2": 0.7475,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7475,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 449,
      "utr_singles": 13.97,
      "utr_ranking": 390,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 0,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:43.961565+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.97,
      "ranking": 390,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.098901098901099,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 99,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.10000000000000853,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.111111111111114,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 45,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.09431067947124142,
    "rank_advantage": 45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -31.111111111111114,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.155555555555551,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4777777777777776,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.799999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.695918620424995,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.2639130629370205,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.9341100279941776,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -11.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5555555555555556,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.24499999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1561111111111111,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.077922077922077,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}