Juan Manuel La Serna vs Bruno Fernandez
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 22:00
02 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan …: 58,6%
Bruno …: 41,4%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel La Serna?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Bruno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,14 | 5,00 | 87,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,71 | 2,41 | 58,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: -22,8%
Bruno …: +22,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking
#386
UTR Rating
13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#494
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47,1%
Bruno Fernandez
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 88,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2136 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1936 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 115,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 88,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,0317 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 17,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 48,6276 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 60,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 54,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 57,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 41,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0588 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7216 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,1099 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1174 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4120 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6835 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25303
API ID
15465221
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25303,
"api_id": 15465221,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
"player2": "Bruno Fernandez",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-02-02T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1428571428571428,
"p2": 5.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 5.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5858,
"prob_p2": 0.4142,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5858,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 386,
"utr_singles": 13.81,
"utr_ranking": 494,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.81,
"ranking": 494,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6835294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.6835294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.2135922330097086,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 115,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 57.7,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 88,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.19358474907266526,
"rank_advantage": 88,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 47.05882352941176,
"bp_converted_diff": 41.1,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 48.627647058823534,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0588235294117647,
"combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 60.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.721575295298035,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.109870544596012,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 54.2,
"surface_matches_ratio": 17.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1174117647058825,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4119999999999999,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.0317460317460343,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}