Juan Manuel La Serna vs Bruno Fernandez
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan …: 58,6% Bruno …: 41,4%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel La Serna?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Bruno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,00 87,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,71 2,41 58,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: -22,8% Bruno …: +22,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking #386
UTR Rating 13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #494
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 8/17 = 47,1%
Bruno Fernandez
Ranking #-
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 88,0000
rank_ratio 1,2136
log_rank_ratio 0,1936
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 115,0000
best_rank_diff 88,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 47,0588
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,0317
surface_matches_ratio 17,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,0588
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,6190
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 48,6276
first_serve_won_diff 60,5000
second_serve_won_diff 54,2000
bp_saved_diff 57,7000
bp_converted_diff 41,1000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0588
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -24,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7216
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,1099
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1174
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4120
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,6835
utr_p2 0,6835
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25303
API ID 15465221
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25303,
    "api_id": 15465221,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
    "player2": "Bruno Fernandez",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-02-02T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1428571428571428,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 5.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5858,
    "prob_p2": 0.4142,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5858,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 386,
      "utr_singles": 13.81,
      "utr_ranking": 494,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.81,
      "ranking": 494,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6835294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.6835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2135922330097086,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 115,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 57.7,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 88,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.19358474907266526,
    "rank_advantage": 88,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 47.05882352941176,
    "bp_converted_diff": 41.1,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 48.627647058823534,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0588235294117647,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 60.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.721575295298035,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.109870544596012,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 54.2,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 17.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -24.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1174117647058825,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.4119999999999999,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.0317460317460343,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}