Guido Ivan Justo vs Ezequiel Monferrer
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Guido Ivan Justo
Guido …: 82,5% Ezequiel …: 17,5%
¿Por qué Guido Ivan Justo?
UTR 13,96 vs 12,78 (+1,18) — Ligera ventaja
Guido …
Sin datos
Ezequiel …
W23-L26
47% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Guido … Ezequiel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,21 5,70 82,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Guido …: -4,1% Ezequiel …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Guido Ivan Justo
Ranking #336
UTR Rating 13,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #402
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 16/31 = 51,6%
Ezequiel Monferrer
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #1311
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Clay 1/8 = 12,5%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Guido Ivan Justo
Sin datos UTR v4
Ezequiel Monferrer
Record 2025 23W - 26L (47%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 122,0000
rank_ratio 1,3228
log_rank_ratio 0,2797
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 128,0000
best_rank_diff 156,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 39,1129
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,3464
surface_matches_ratio 3,8750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,6129
surface_wr_p2 12,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 22,5000
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,7033
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,9603
first_serve_won_diff 4,4000
second_serve_won_diff 4,9000
bp_saved_diff -3,8000
bp_converted_diff 9,0000
aces_per_match_diff -0,3548
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,2000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,5125
serve_consistency_p2 5,8198
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,9404
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1059
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2530
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,1800
utr_p1 0,7012
utr_p2 0,5624
utr_advantage 8,8257
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25304
API ID 15465334
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25304,
    "api_id": 15465334,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Guido Ivan Justo",
    "player2": "Ezequiel Monferrer",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-02-02T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 7.99
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8246,
    "prob_p2": 0.1754,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8246,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 336,
      "utr_singles": 13.96,
      "utr_ranking": 402,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.78,
      "utr_ranking": 1311,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.93877551020408,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.85,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Zanellato"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Breno Braga"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.89,
          "opponent_name": "Rafael Tosetto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.73,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Sakamoto"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.03,
          "opponent_name": "Eduardo Ribeiro"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:19.548557+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 12.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.96,
      "ranking": 402,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.78,
      "ranking": 1311,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7011764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.5623529411764705,
    "utr_diff": 1.1800000000000015,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3227513227513228,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 128,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -10.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
    "surface_wr_p2": 12.5,
    "utr_advantage": 8.825729244577422,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 156,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2797139028026041,
    "rank_advantage": 122,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 39.11290322580645,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.9603225806451547,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.35483870967741926,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7033333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.399999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.512452107813748,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.819754266850603,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.940422811230885,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 22.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.199999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1058709677419355,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.253,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.346428571428568,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}