Hernan Casanova vs Santiago De la Fuente
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 23:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hernan Casanova
Hernan …: 76,2% Santiago …: 23,8%
¿Por qué Hernan Casanova?
UTR 14,15 vs 13,37 (+0,78) — Niveles similares
Hernan …
Sin datos
Santiago …
W43-L28
61% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hernan … Santiago … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 4,50 85,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,20 76,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Hernan …: -3,2% Santiago …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hernan Casanova
Ranking #413
UTR Rating 14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #322
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR Clay 16/28 = 57,1%
Santiago De la Fuente
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #794
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (8p)
WR Clay 7/18 = 38,9%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Hernan Casanova
Sin datos UTR v4
Santiago De la Fuente
Record 2025 43W - 28L (61%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 129,0000
rank_ratio 1,3477
log_rank_ratio 0,2984
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 130,0000
best_rank_diff 279,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,2540
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,7614
surface_matches_ratio 1,5556
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 38,8889
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,2500
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,9091
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,5521
first_serve_won_diff 1,7000
second_serve_won_diff 5,7000
bp_saved_diff 7,6000
bp_converted_diff -1,9000
aces_per_match_diff -0,5040
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,4800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,4468
serve_consistency_p2 13,1212
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,4471
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0576
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7800
utr_p1 0,7235
utr_p2 0,6318
utr_advantage 5,6686
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25305
API ID 15465328
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25305,
    "api_id": 15465328,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Hernan Casanova",
    "player2": "Santiago De la Fuente",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-02-02T19:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7621,
    "prob_p2": 0.2379,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7621,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 413,
      "utr_singles": 14.15,
      "utr_ranking": 322,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.37,
      "utr_ranking": 794,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.56338028169014,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.91,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Alejandro Hidalgo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luciano Doria"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.21,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Tischner"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.18,
          "opponent_name": "Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.12,
          "opponent_name": "Valentin Guadagno"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:28.548026+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.15,
      "ranking": 322,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.37,
      "ranking": 794,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.723529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.6317647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.7800000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3477088948787062,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 130,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.600000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 38.88888888888889,
    "utr_advantage": 5.668604651162799,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 279,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.29840603581475655,
    "rank_advantage": 129,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.253968253968246,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.8999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.5520634920634961,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5039682539682541,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.70000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.4467632127709775,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.121229243349333,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.447094304555078,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.699999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5555555555555556,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.480000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05757142857142861,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.017888888888888954,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.761363636363631,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}