Hernan Casanova vs Santiago De la Fuente
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Qualification Final
02 Feb 2026, 23:40
02 Feb 2026, 23:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hernan Casanova
Hernan …: 76,2%
Santiago …: 23,8%
¿Por qué Hernan Casanova?
UTR 14,15 vs 13,37
(+0,78)
— Niveles similares
Hernan …
Sin datos
Santiago …
W43-L28
61% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hernan … | Santiago … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 4,50 | 85,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,31 | 4,20 | 76,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hernan …: -3,2%
Santiago …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hernan Casanova
Ranking
#413
UTR Rating
14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#322
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (9p)
WR Clay
16/28 = 57,1%
Santiago De la Fuente
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#794
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (8p)
WR Clay
7/18 = 38,9%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Hernan Casanova
Sin datos UTR v4
Santiago De la Fuente
Record 2025
43W - 28L (61%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 129,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3477 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2984 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 130,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 279,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,2540 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,7614 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5556 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,5521 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5040 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,4800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4468 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,1212 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,4471 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0576 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0179 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6318 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,6686 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25305
API ID
15465328
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25305,
"api_id": 15465328,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hernan Casanova",
"player2": "Santiago De la Fuente",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-02-02T19:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7621,
"prob_p2": 0.2379,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7621,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 413,
"utr_singles": 14.15,
"utr_ranking": 322,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.37,
"utr_ranking": 794,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.56338028169014,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.91,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Gabriel Alejandro Hidalgo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Luciano Doria"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.21,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Tischner"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.18,
"opponent_name": "Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.12,
"opponent_name": "Valentin Guadagno"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:28.548026+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.15,
"ranking": 322,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.37,
"ranking": 794,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.723529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.6317647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.7800000000000011,
"rank_ratio": 1.3477088948787062,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 130,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.600000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 38.88888888888889,
"utr_advantage": 5.668604651162799,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 279,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.29840603581475655,
"rank_advantage": 129,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.253968253968246,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.5520634920634961,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5039682539682541,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.4467632127709775,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.121229243349333,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.447094304555078,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.699999999999996,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5555555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.480000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05757142857142861,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.017888888888888954,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.761363636363631,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}