Titouan Droguet vs Jan Choinski
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 17:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Titouan Droguet
Titouan …: 77,8% Jan …: 22,2%
¿Por qué Titouan Droguet?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,61 (-0,08) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Titouan … Jan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,33 3,35 75,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,51 77,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Titouan …: +19,1% Jan …: -19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Titouan Droguet
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #174
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Jan Choinski
Ranking #125
UTR Rating 14,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #147
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/13 = 30,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -31,0000
rank_ratio 0,8000
log_rank_ratio -0,2231
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -94,0000
best_rank_diff -7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,8974
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,1667
surface_matches_ratio 2,3077
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6667
surface_wr_p2 30,7692
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8824
surface_wr_p2_stable 35,2941
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 14,3775
first_serve_won_diff 10,2436
second_serve_won_diff 1,2456
bp_saved_diff -0,2082
bp_converted_diff -12,4903
aces_per_match_diff 4,4410
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 39,0000
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 21,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 5,2954
serve_consistency_p2 6,5323
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5,7788
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0977
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2233
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0800
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,7776
utr_advantage -0,5491
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25326
API ID 15469021
Gamdom ID 655219
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25326,
    "api_id": 15469021,
    "gamdom_id": 655219,
    "player1": "Titouan Droguet",
    "player2": "Jan Choinski",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T13:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7782,
    "prob_p2": 0.2218,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7782,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 174,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 125,
      "utr_singles": 14.61,
      "utr_ranking": 147,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.76923076923077,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 174,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 147,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -94,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.2082051282051367,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 49.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 30.76923076923077,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5490734385724095,
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    "best_rank_diff": -7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2231435513142097,
    "rank_advantage": -31,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.897435897435894,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.490256410256414,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": 14.377538461538464,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.44102564102564,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.243589743589752,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.295439443605977,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.532271914114284,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.778845816085943,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 35.294117647058826,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.2456410256410209,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.3076923076923075,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 39.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09766666666666668,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22330769230769232,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.166666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}