Titouan Droguet vs Jan Choinski
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 17:55
03 Feb 2026, 17:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Titouan Droguet
Titouan …: 77,8%
Jan …: 22,2%
¿Por qué Titouan Droguet?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,61
(-0,08)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Titouan … | Jan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,33 | 3,35 | 75,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,29 | 4,51 | 77,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Titouan …: +19,1%
Jan …: -19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Titouan Droguet
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#174
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#125
UTR Rating
14,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/13 = 30,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -31,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2231 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -94,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,8974 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,1667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,3077 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 30,7692 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 35,2941 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 14,3775 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,2436 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,2456 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,2082 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,4903 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,4410 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 39,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 21,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2954 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5323 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,7788 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0977 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2233 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5491 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25326
API ID
15469021
Gamdom ID
655219
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25326,
"api_id": 15469021,
"gamdom_id": 655219,
"player1": "Titouan Droguet",
"player2": "Jan Choinski",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T13:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7782,
"prob_p2": 0.2218,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7782,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 174,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 125,
"utr_singles": 14.61,
"utr_ranking": 147,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.76923076923077,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 174,
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},
"p2": {
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.8,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -94,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.2082051282051367,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 49.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
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"utr_advantage": -0.5490734385724095,
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"best_rank_diff": -7,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2231435513142097,
"rank_advantage": -31,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.897435897435894,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.490256410256414,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 14.377538461538464,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.44102564102564,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.243589743589752,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.295439443605977,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.532271914114284,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.778845816085943,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 35.294117647058826,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.2456410256410209,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.3076923076923075,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 39.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09766666666666668,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.22330769230769232,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.166666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}