Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm Jr
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 17:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Hubert …: 43,0% Martin …: 57,0%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hubert … Martin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
Gamdom 1,24 4,10 80,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,33 1,75 43,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Hubert …: -33,2% Martin …: +33,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking #52
UTR Rating 15,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #23
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 7/14 = 50,0%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking #160
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 122,0000
rank_ratio 3,2182
log_rank_ratio 1,1688
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 632,0000
best_rank_diff 167,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,2174
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,1235
surface_matches_ratio 0,6087
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 65,2174
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,9630
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,6267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,8832
first_serve_won_diff -2,7373
second_serve_won_diff -4,4689
bp_saved_diff 1,5348
bp_converted_diff -4,5568
aces_per_match_diff -1,0870
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,3200
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2167
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,5625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 7,1638
serve_consistency_p2 4,2607
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -17,7863
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1220
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2742
elite_surface_amplifier -15,2174
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8812
utr_p2 0,8812
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25327
API ID 15469020
Gamdom ID 655218
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25327,
    "api_id": 15469020,
    "gamdom_id": 655218,
    "player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
    "player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T13:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 4.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.92
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4301,
    "prob_p2": 0.5699,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5699,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 52,
      "utr_singles": 15.49,
      "utr_ranking": 23,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 160,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 15.49,
      "ranking": 23,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8811764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 3.2181818181818183,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 632,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.5347826086956502,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.21739130434783,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 167,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1688165473413583,
    "rank_advantage": 122,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.217391304347828,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.556832298136641,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.883229813664599,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0869565217391308,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.7372670807453545,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.163790817874388,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.260655862490697,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -17.78633876389024,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.96296296296296,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.468944099378888,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6086956521739131,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.319999999999993,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -15.217391304347828,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.122,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.27417391304347827,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.123456790123457,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}