Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm Jr
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 17:40
03 Feb 2026, 17:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Hubert …: 43,0%
Martin …: 57,0%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hubert … | Martin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,24 | 4,10 | 80,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,33 | 1,75 | 43,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Hubert …: -33,2%
Martin …: +33,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
15,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/14 = 50,0%
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking
#160
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
15/23 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 122,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,2182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1688 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 632,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 167,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,2174 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,1235 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6087 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,9630 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,8832 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,7373 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,4689 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5348 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,5568 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0870 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,3200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2167 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1638 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2607 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -17,7863 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2742 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -15,2174 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8812 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25327
API ID
15469020
Gamdom ID
655218
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25327,
"api_id": 15469020,
"gamdom_id": 655218,
"player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"player2": "Martin Damm Jr",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T13:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 4.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.92
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4301,
"prob_p2": 0.5699,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5699,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 15.49,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 160,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.49,
"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8811764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 3.2181818181818183,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 632,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5347826086956502,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.21739130434783,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 167,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1688165473413583,
"rank_advantage": 122,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.217391304347828,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.556832298136641,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.883229813664599,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2166666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5625,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0869565217391308,
"combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.7372670807453545,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.163790817874388,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.260655862490697,
"surface_rank_synergy": -17.78633876389024,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.96296296296296,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.468944099378888,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6086956521739131,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.319999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -15.217391304347828,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.122,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.27417391304347827,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.123456790123457,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}