Andrea Vavassori vs Ugo Blanchet
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 00:20
04 Feb 2026, 00:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Vavassori
Andrea …: 51,0%
Ugo …: 49,0%
¿Por qué Andrea Vavassori?
UTR 14,70 vs 14,54
(+0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrea … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,61 | 2,33 | 62,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,96 | 2,04 | 51,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Andrea …: -3,8%
Ugo …: +3,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking
#282
UTR Rating
14,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#135
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/13 = 61,5%
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking
#174
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#161
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -149,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4880 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7175 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -250,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,5385 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,1111 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,9744 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,7405 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,3059 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,7910 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,9059 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,9319 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0154 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34,7900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7943 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0469 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,1024 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,1038 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2644 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0490 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7694 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0944 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25328
API ID
15469022
Gamdom ID
655217
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25328,
"api_id": 15469022,
"gamdom_id": 655217,
"player1": "Andrea Vavassori",
"player2": "Ugo Blanchet",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T20:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.31
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5099,
"prob_p2": 0.4901,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5099,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 282,
"utr_singles": 14.7,
"utr_ranking": 135,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 161,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.7,
"ranking": 135,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.54,
"ranking": 161,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7694117647058822,
"utr_diff": 0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.4879725085910653,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -250,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.905934065934062,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.0943912448700421,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7174962095702319,
"rank_advantage": -149,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8666666666666667,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.53846153846154,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.9318681318681357,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.7405054945054843,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7943262411347518,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0153846153846153,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.3059340659340535,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.0469348457953975,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.102447194808965,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.1038403224157425,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.7909890109890085,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.37142857142857144,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.79,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.26438461538461544,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.049000000000000044,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.11111111111111072,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}