Andrea Vavassori vs Ugo Blanchet
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 00:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Vavassori
Andrea …: 51,0% Ugo …: 49,0%
¿Por qué Andrea Vavassori?
UTR 14,70 vs 14,54 (+0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrea … Ugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,61 2,33 62,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,96 2,04 51,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Andrea …: -3,8% Ugo …: +3,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking #282
UTR Rating 14,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #135
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/13 = 61,5%
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking #174
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #161
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -149,0000
rank_ratio 0,4880
log_rank_ratio -0,7175
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -250,0000
best_rank_diff 11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,5385
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,1111
surface_matches_ratio 0,3714
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,5385
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,8235
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,9744
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2308
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,7405
first_serve_won_diff -4,3059
second_serve_won_diff -3,7910
bp_saved_diff 5,9059
bp_converted_diff -3,9319
aces_per_match_diff 2,0154
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 34,7900
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7943
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8667
serve_consistency_p1 7,0469
serve_consistency_p2 9,1024
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,1038
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2644
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0490
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1600
utr_p1 0,7882
utr_p2 0,7694
utr_advantage 1,0944
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25328
API ID 15469022
Gamdom ID 655217
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25328,
    "api_id": 15469022,
    "gamdom_id": 655217,
    "player1": "Andrea Vavassori",
    "player2": "Ugo Blanchet",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T20:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.33
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.31
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5099,
    "prob_p2": 0.4901,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5099,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 282,
      "utr_singles": 14.7,
      "utr_ranking": 135,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 161,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.7,
      "ranking": 135,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 161,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7882352941176469,
    "utr_p2": 0.7694117647058822,
    "utr_diff": 0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.4879725085910653,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -250,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.905934065934062,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.0943912448700421,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7174962095702319,
    "rank_advantage": -149,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8666666666666667,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.53846153846154,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.9318681318681357,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.7405054945054843,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7943262411347518,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0153846153846153,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.3059340659340535,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.0469348457953975,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.102447194808965,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.1038403224157425,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.7909890109890085,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.37142857142857144,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 34.79,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.26438461538461544,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.049000000000000044,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.11111111111111072,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}