Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 17:30
04 Feb 2026, 17:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Moise …: 9,7%
Aleksandar …: 90,3%
¿Por qué Aleksandar Kovacevic?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,81
(-0,84)
— Niveles similares
Moise …
W21-L16
57% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Aleksandar …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Moise … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,80 | 1,45 | 35,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 10,27 | 1,11 | 9,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Moise …: -14,1%
Aleksandar …: +14,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Moise Kouame
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,97 Junior
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#111
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Moise Kouame
Record 2025
21W - 16L (57%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -444,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1120 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,1893 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -964,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -446,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -33,8000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -69,7078 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -75,4217 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -54,9174 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -62,2696 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -33,8826 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,7609 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 71,4286 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 61,4286 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 42,2419 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5333 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3984 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 114,2221 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4223 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8012 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,8374 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25330
API ID
15469023
Gamdom ID
655220
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25330,
"api_id": 15469023,
"gamdom_id": 655220,
"player1": "Moise Kouame",
"player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-04T13:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.8,
"p2": 1.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.86,
"p2": 1.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0974,
"prob_p2": 0.9026,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9026,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.75675675675676,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.4,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.46,
"opponent_name": "Ye Chen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.67,
"opponent_name": "Gabriele Pennaforti"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.49,
"opponent_name": "Noah Schlagenhauf"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.8,
"opponent_name": "Denis Petak"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Lars Goran Verwerft"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:53.158864+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.81,
"utr_ranking": 111,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.81,
"ranking": 111,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.8011764705882354,
"utr_diff": -0.8399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.112,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -964,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -62.2695652173913,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 61.42857142857143,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
"utr_advantage": -5.837387074357191,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -446,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.1892564076870427,
"rank_advantage": -444,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -52.17391304347826,
"bp_converted_diff": -33.88260869565217,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": -69.70782608695653,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.760869565217392,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -75.42173913043479,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.533299492262866,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.398446853962596,
"surface_rank_synergy": 114.22207344454135,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -54.91739130434783,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 42.2419387755102,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05600000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.42226086956521736,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -33.800000000000004,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}