Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Hernan Casanova
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Chun-Hsin …: 62,0%
Hernan …: 38,0%
¿Por qué Chun-Hsin Tseng?
UTR 14,33 vs 14,15
(+0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Chun-Hsin … | Hernan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,61 | 2,63 | 62,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Chun-Hsin …: -2,6%
Hernan …: +2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Ranking
#122
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
21/35 = 60,0%
Hernan Casanova
Ranking
#413
UTR Rating
14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#322
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
16/28 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 291,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,3852 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2194 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 390,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 138,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,8571 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,6335 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,1171 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -16,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,6786 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -35,7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,4765 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5179 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,4841 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1910 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3624 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2,8571 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7235 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2640 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25338
API ID
15470915
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25338,
"api_id": 15470915,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Chun-Hsin Tseng",
"player2": "Hernan Casanova",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.58
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6197,
"prob_p2": 0.3803,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6197,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 122,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 413,
"utr_singles": 14.15,
"utr_ranking": 322,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 216,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.15,
"ranking": 322,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.723529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 3.3852459016393444,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 390,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": 1.2640449438202228,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 138,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2194265482277762,
"rank_advantage": 291,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.857142857142861,
"bp_converted_diff": -16.400000000000002,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.11714285714286,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.6785714285714284,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.400000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.476509901329553,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.51785585824579,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.4840758520793655,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.20000000000000284,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -35.75000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.857142857142861,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19100000000000006,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.36242857142857143,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.633547008547012,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}