Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Hernan Casanova
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Chun-Hsin …: 62,0% Hernan …: 38,0%
¿Por qué Chun-Hsin Tseng?
UTR 14,33 vs 14,15 (+0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chun-Hsin … Hernan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,61 2,63 62,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Chun-Hsin …: -2,6% Hernan …: +2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Ranking #122
UTR Rating 14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #216
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 21/35 = 60,0%
Hernan Casanova
Ranking #413
UTR Rating 14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #322
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 16/28 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 291,0000
rank_ratio 3,3852
log_rank_ratio 1,2194
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 390,0000
best_rank_diff 138,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,6335
surface_matches_ratio 1,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,1171
first_serve_won_diff 7,4000
second_serve_won_diff 0,2000
bp_saved_diff 4,3000
bp_converted_diff -16,4000
aces_per_match_diff 2,6786
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -35,7500
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 21,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 10,4765
serve_consistency_p2 7,5179
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,4841
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1910
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3624
elite_surface_amplifier 2,8571
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,7447
utr_p2 0,7235
utr_advantage 1,2640
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25338
API ID 15470915
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25338,
    "api_id": 15470915,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Chun-Hsin Tseng",
    "player2": "Hernan Casanova",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.58
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6197,
    "prob_p2": 0.3803,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6197,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 122,
      "utr_singles": 14.33,
      "utr_ranking": 216,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 413,
      "utr_singles": 14.15,
      "utr_ranking": 322,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.33,
      "ranking": 216,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.15,
      "ranking": 322,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.723529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 3.3852459016393444,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 390,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": 1.2640449438202228,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 138,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2194265482277762,
    "rank_advantage": 291,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.857142857142861,
    "bp_converted_diff": -16.400000000000002,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.11714285714286,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.6785714285714284,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.400000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.476509901329553,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.51785585824579,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.4840758520793655,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.20000000000000284,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -35.75000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 2.857142857142861,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19100000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.36242857142857143,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.633547008547012,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}