Juan Estevez vs Andrea Pellegrino
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
03 Feb 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Pellegrino
Juan …: 11,6%
Andrea …: 88,4%
¿Por qué Andrea Pellegrino?
UTR 13,97 vs 14,39
(-0,42)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 59,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 8,61 | 1,13 | 11,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: -44,1%
Andrea …: +44,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Estevez
Ranking
#449
UTR Rating
13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#390
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Clay
3/10 = 30,0%
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#206
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
28/45 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -306,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3185 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1442 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -329,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -329,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -32,2222 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,2823 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2222 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,2245 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,3144 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -14,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2222 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 51,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,9518 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6939 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 36,8680 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1060 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1838 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7518 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,9619 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25339
API ID
15470912
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25339,
"api_id": 15470912,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Estevez",
"player2": "Andrea Pellegrino",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.68
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1161,
"prob_p2": 0.8839,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8839,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 449,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 390,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 14.39,
"utr_ranking": 206,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.22222222222222,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 390,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.39,
"ranking": 206,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.751764705882353,
"utr_diff": -0.41999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.3184855233853007,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -329,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.200000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 70.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.22222222222222,
"utr_advantage": -2.961918194640338,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -329,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.144178257482347,
"rank_advantage": -306,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -32.22222222222222,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.8000000000000043,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.31444444444444,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.222222222222222,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.100000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.951812684417615,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.693944730783235,
"surface_rank_synergy": 36.86796607443118,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.714285714285715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.224489795918366,
"second_serve_won_diff": -14.399999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2222222222222222,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 51.45,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10600000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18377777777777782,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.282312925170068,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}