Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 00:30
04 Feb 2026, 00:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Santiago …: 69,4%
Luciano …: 30,6%
¿Por qué Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Santiago … | Luciano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,44 | 3,27 | 69,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Santiago …: +15,8%
Luciano …: -15,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Ranking
#230
UTR Rating
13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#394
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
22/44 = 50,0%
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Ranking
#424
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
17/33 = 51,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 194,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8435 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6117 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 135,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 185,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,5152 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,3514 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,5152 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,3514 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,2094 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2197 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -30,5100 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8129 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,7391 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,9267 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1940 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2092 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25340
API ID
15470916
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25340,
"api_id": 15470916,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Santiago Rodriguez Taverna",
"player2": "Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T20:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.96,
"p2": 1.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6943,
"prob_p2": 0.3057,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6943,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 230,
"utr_singles": 13.97,
"utr_ranking": 394,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 424,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.97,
"ranking": 394,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.8434782608695652,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 135,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.515151515151516,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 185,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6116541463087624,
"rank_advantage": 194,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.5151515151515156,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.209393939393934,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2196969696969697,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.8000000000000043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.812905689314718,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.739136230799609,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.9267487065284281,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.35135135135135,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -30.510000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19399999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2091515151515151,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.3513513513513473,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}