Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 00:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Santiago …: 69,4% Luciano …: 30,6%
¿Por qué Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Santiago … Luciano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,44 3,27 69,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Santiago …: +15,8% Luciano …: -15,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Ranking #230
UTR Rating 13,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #394
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 22/44 = 50,0%
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Ranking #424
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 17/33 = 51,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 194,0000
rank_ratio 1,8435
log_rank_ratio 0,6117
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 135,0000
best_rank_diff 185,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,5152
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,3514
surface_matches_ratio 1,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 51,5152
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,3514
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,2094
first_serve_won_diff 3,8000
second_serve_won_diff 2,9000
bp_saved_diff 4,5000
bp_converted_diff -11,5000
aces_per_match_diff 1,2197
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,5100
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 20,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1429
serve_consistency_p1 5,8129
serve_consistency_p2 11,7391
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,9267
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1940
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2092
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7024
utr_p2 0,7024
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25340
API ID 15470916
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25340,
    "api_id": 15470916,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Santiago Rodriguez Taverna",
    "player2": "Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T20:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.96,
      "p2": 1.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6943,
    "prob_p2": 0.3057,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6943,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 230,
      "utr_singles": 13.97,
      "utr_ranking": 394,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 424,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.97,
      "ranking": 394,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.8434782608695652,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 135,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.515151515151516,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 185,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6116541463087624,
    "rank_advantage": 194,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.5151515151515156,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.209393939393934,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2196969696969697,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.812905689314718,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.739136230799609,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.9267487065284281,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.35135135135135,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -30.510000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19399999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2091515151515151,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.3513513513513473,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}