Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Guido Ivan Justo
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 02:35
04 Feb 2026, 02:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo …: 74,1%
Guido …: 25,9%
¿Por qué Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
UTR 14,78 vs 13,96
(+0,82)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Camilo … | Guido … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,50 | 78,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,87 | 74,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Camilo …: +0,9%
Guido …: -0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Clay
22/36 = 61,1%
Guido Ivan Justo
Ranking
#336
UTR Rating
13,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#402
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 288,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9459 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 881,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 301,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,4982 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,5714 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1613 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,3552 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8826 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -45,1050 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 16,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5417 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2515 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2479 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,4827 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1769 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3041 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 28,4946 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7012 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,7063 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25341
API ID
15470913
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25341,
"api_id": 15470913,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"player2": "Guido Ivan Justo",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T22:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.31,
"p2": 3.26
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7414,
"prob_p2": 0.2586,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7414,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 48,
"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 336,
"utr_singles": 13.96,
"utr_ranking": 402,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.78,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.96,
"ranking": 402,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7011764705882354,
"utr_diff": 0.8199999999999985,
"rank_ratio": 7.0,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 881,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -70.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": 5.706332637439099,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 301,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.9459101490553132,
"rank_advantage": 288,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.498207885304666,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.355232974910393,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5416666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8826164874551969,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.251511830879537,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.247896611972013,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.482659121851555,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1612903225806452,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -45.105000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 28.494623655913998,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17688888888888887,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.30412903225806454,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.571428571428577,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}