Juan Manuel La Serna vs Renzo Olivo
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 02:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan …: 62,0% Renzo …: 38,1%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel La Serna?
UTR 13,81 vs 13,76 (+0,05) — Niveles similares
Juan …
Sin datos
Renzo …
W23-L19
55% WR
vs UTR 13,8
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Renzo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,61 2,63 62,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: +3,0% Renzo …: -3,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking #386
UTR Rating 13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #494
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 8/17 = 47,1%
Renzo Olivo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #522
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (5p)
WR Clay 9/23 = 39,1%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juan Manuel La Serna
Sin datos UTR v4
Renzo Olivo
Record 2025 23W - 19L (55%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,8
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 114,0000
rank_ratio 1,2953
log_rank_ratio 0,2588
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 122,0000
best_rank_diff 88,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,9284
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,5855
surface_matches_ratio 0,7391
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,0588
surface_wr_p2 39,1304
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,6190
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,7407
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,6667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,9084
first_serve_won_diff -4,5000
second_serve_won_diff 3,5000
bp_saved_diff -0,3000
bp_converted_diff 16,7000
aces_per_match_diff -0,8542
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 80,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 59,5200
current_streak_diff 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 5,8577
serve_consistency_p2 6,2121
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,0516
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1434
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0053
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0500
utr_p1 0,6835
utr_p2 0,6776
utr_advantage 0,3627
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25342
API ID 15470914
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25342,
    "api_id": 15470914,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
    "player2": "Renzo Olivo",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-03T22:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.35,
      "p2": 3.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6195,
    "prob_p2": 0.3805,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6195,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 386,
      "utr_singles": 13.81,
      "utr_ranking": 494,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.76,
      "utr_ranking": 522,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.761904761904766,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.44,
          "opponent_name": "Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Maximiliano Estevez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.86,
          "opponent_name": "Lance Lage"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.79,
          "opponent_name": "Maximus Jones"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:19.392243+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.81,
      "ranking": 494,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.76,
      "ranking": 522,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6835294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.6776470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2953367875647668,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 122,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.29999999999999716,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 80.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2": 39.130434782608695,
    "utr_advantage": 0.36271309394269646,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 88,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2587707289573608,
    "rank_advantage": 114,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.928388746803066,
    "bp_converted_diff": 16.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.9084398976982087,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8542199488491049,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 7,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.857726942213976,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.212094540604447,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.0516349354675656,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.74074074074074,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7391304347826086,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 59.519999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1434117647058824,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.005304347826086964,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.585537918871248,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}