Juan Manuel La Serna vs Renzo Olivo
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 02:45
04 Feb 2026, 02:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan …: 62,0%
Renzo …: 38,1%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel La Serna?
UTR 13,81 vs 13,76
(+0,05)
— Niveles similares
Juan …
Sin datos
Renzo …
W23-L19
55% WR
vs UTR 13,8
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Renzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,61 | 2,63 | 62,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: +3,0%
Renzo …: -3,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel La Serna
Ranking
#386
UTR Rating
13,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#494
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
8/17 = 47,1%
Renzo Olivo
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#522
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
0% (5p)
WR Clay
9/23 = 39,1%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Juan Manuel La Serna
Sin datos UTR v4
Renzo Olivo
Record 2025
23W - 19L (55%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 114,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2953 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2588 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 122,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 88,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,9284 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,5855 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7391 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,1304 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,7407 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,9084 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 16,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8542 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 80,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 59,5200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8577 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2121 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,0516 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1434 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0053 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6776 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3627 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25342
API ID
15470914
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25342,
"api_id": 15470914,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel La Serna",
"player2": "Renzo Olivo",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-03T22:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 3.02
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6195,
"prob_p2": 0.3805,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6195,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 386,
"utr_singles": 13.81,
"utr_ranking": 494,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.76,
"utr_ranking": 522,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 54.761904761904766,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.79,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.44,
"opponent_name": "Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Maximiliano Estevez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.86,
"opponent_name": "Lance Lage"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.79,
"opponent_name": "Maximus Jones"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:19.392243+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.81,
"ranking": 494,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.76,
"ranking": 522,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6776470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 1.2953367875647668,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 122,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.29999999999999716,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 80.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.130434782608695,
"utr_advantage": 0.36271309394269646,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 88,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2587707289573608,
"rank_advantage": 114,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.928388746803066,
"bp_converted_diff": 16.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.9084398976982087,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8542199488491049,
"combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 7,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.857726942213976,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.212094540604447,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.0516349354675656,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.74074074074074,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7391304347826086,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 59.519999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1434117647058824,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.005304347826086964,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.585537918871248,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}