Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Igor Marcondes
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Facundo …: 80,6% Igor …: 19,4%
¿Por qué Facundo Diaz Acosta?
UTR 14,51 vs 14,00 (+0,51) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Facundo … Igor … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,15 80,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Facundo …: +21,7% Igor …: -21,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Ranking #301
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #175
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 16/30 = 53,3%
Igor Marcondes
Ranking #357
UTR Rating 14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #378
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 56,0000
rank_ratio 1,1860
log_rank_ratio 0,1706
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 40,0000
best_rank_diff 211,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 53,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,1438
surface_matches_ratio 30,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,9412
surface_wr_p2_stable 77,7778
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 58,7933
first_serve_won_diff 68,6000
second_serve_won_diff 57,2000
bp_saved_diff 64,0000
bp_converted_diff 35,1000
aces_per_match_diff 3,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -70,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -51,2100
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 22,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7273
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,9629
serve_consistency_p2 5,5754
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,1000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0227
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4440
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5100
utr_p1 0,7659
utr_p2 0,7059
utr_advantage 3,5777
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25343
API ID 15470917
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25343,
    "api_id": 15470917,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Facundo Diaz Acosta",
    "player2": "Igor Marcondes",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-02-04T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8057,
    "prob_p2": 0.1943,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8057,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 301,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 175,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 357,
      "utr_singles": 14.0,
      "utr_ranking": 378,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 175,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.0,
      "ranking": 378,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
    "utr_diff": 0.5099999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.186046511627907,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 40,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 64.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -70.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.577692037881444,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 211,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.17062551703076345,
    "rank_advantage": 56,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": 35.1,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 58.79333333333333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.6666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 68.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.962860278229526,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.575384158520308,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.100027574974051,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 77.77777777777779,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 57.2,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 30.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -51.21000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.022666666666666724,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.44399999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.143790849673206,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}