Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Igor Marcondes
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
04 Feb 2026, 05:10
04 Feb 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Facundo …: 80,6%
Igor …: 19,4%
¿Por qué Facundo Diaz Acosta?
UTR 14,51 vs 14,00
(+0,51)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Facundo … | Igor … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,15 | 80,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Facundo …: +21,7%
Igor …: -21,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Ranking
#301
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#175
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
16/30 = 53,3%
Igor Marcondes
Ranking
#357
UTR Rating
14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#378
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 56,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1860 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1706 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 40,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 211,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -16,1438 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 30,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 77,7778 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 58,7933 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 68,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 57,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 64,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 35,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -51,2100 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7273 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9629 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5754 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,1000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0227 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4440 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7659 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,5777 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25343
API ID
15470917
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25343,
"api_id": 15470917,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Facundo Diaz Acosta",
"player2": "Igor Marcondes",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-02-04T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8057,
"prob_p2": 0.1943,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8057,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 301,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 175,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 357,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 378,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.51,
"ranking": 175,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 378,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7658823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
"utr_diff": 0.5099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.186046511627907,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 40,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 64.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -70.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.577692037881444,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 211,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.17062551703076345,
"rank_advantage": 56,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": 35.1,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 58.79333333333333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.6666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 68.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.962860278229526,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.575384158520308,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.100027574974051,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 77.77777777777779,
"second_serve_won_diff": 57.2,
"surface_matches_ratio": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -51.21000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.022666666666666724,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.44399999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.143790849673206,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}